St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, July 6, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-184) Washington (+154)

The St. Louis Cardinals (45-41) are on their way to Nationals Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Washington Nationals (41-46). The odds on this game have the Cardinals at -184 while the Nationals are sitting at +154. The over/under is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Lance Lynn and MacKenzie Gore.

The Cardinals have accumulated 132 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 82 baseballs out of the stadium. St. Louis has a slugging rate of .378 and have struck out 732 times, while drawing a walk on 253 occasions. As a squad, the St. Louis Cardinals are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 26th in baseball. They have accounted for 322 RBI's and 695 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .240. They are sitting with 342 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .307.

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The Cardinals have compiled a team earned run average of 3.85 so far this year (12th in the league), and the staff has struck out 711 batters. Cardinals pitchers have conceded 87 long balls and 379 runs (16th in baseball). They have walked 249 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.84 as a unit over the course of the season. St. Louis has conceded 706 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 328 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25.

The Cardinals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 73.9% and stepped onto the hill in 118 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 123 base runners over the course of the season and 38.2% of those players earned a run for their team. Cardinals pitchers have come into the game with players on base 87 times in addition to having 101 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 275 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 72 holds on the season (3rd in baseball). They have accumulated 34 saves for the year and have blown 12 of their 46 chances to save the game.

The Cardinals have converted 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,897 innings, which has them sitting at 19th in the majors. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated 2,299 putouts this season, as well as 783 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which is 14th in the majors, and have earned 85 double plays.

Lynn has taken the ball for 1,975 innings and has racked up 1,990 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.73 (819 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.275. He has surrendered 1,826 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 691 walks. Lynn (140-98 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.68 while he has faced 8,389 hitters in the majors.

Washington has compiled 71 long balls on the season to go along with 338 RBIs. They have 137 doubles, while taking a walk 253 times as well as recording 358 runs. The Washington Nationals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .304 and a batting average of .235 over the course of the season. The Nationals have a SLG% of .364 and they earn 4.11 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have struck out on 665 instances (25th in baseball) and have a total of 672 hits.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 3.76 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (710 strikeouts against 235 free passes). They have a ranking of 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 734. They have given up 85 homers and they surrender 4.41 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Washington pitching staff have allowed 377 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.96 (339 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 92 save situations, the Nationals have 55 holds and 13 blown saves. Washington has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 37 save opportunities and they have come away with 24 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 82 times in high leverage situations in addition to 77 occasions with base runners. Washington bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 38.1% out of 105 inherited base runners. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.9%, and they have dispatched 296 relievers to the hill on the year.

In their 6,933 innings on the field, the Nationals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (27th in MLB). The Washington Nationals have gotten 80 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 761 assists, 46 errors and have notched a total of 2,311 putouts over the course of the season.

Gore (17-21 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.16 ERA while giving up 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has faced 1,285 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 137 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.411 and a FIP of 4.1. So far in his MLB career, Gore has surrendered 295 base knocks while he has earned 330 punch outs in 296 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-184)

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