St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, April 1, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

The St. Louis Cardinals (71-91 last year) are hitting the road to Petco Park on Monday where they will play the San Diego Padres (82-80 last season). The expected starting pitchers are Kyle Gibson and Matt Waldron.

The Cardinals accrued 264 two-baggers as a unit and hit 209 baseballs out of the park. St. Louis had a slugging percentage of .416 and were called out on strikes 1,326 times, while taking a walk on 570 occasions. As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals notched 4.4 runs per game, which had them at 19th in baseball. They compiled 697 RBI's as well as 1,376 hits in the previous season, while their team batting average was .250. They accumulated 719 runs scored and held an OBP of .326.

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The Cardinals held a team ERA of 4.79 in the prior season (24th in the league), and their staff struck out 1,215 hitters. Cardinals pitchers allowed 179 home runs and 829 runs (25th in the league). Their pitching staff walked 530 batters and their FIP finished at 4.43 as a team during the previous year. St. Louis yielded 1,549 hits (9.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 760 earned runs. They earned a K/BB ratio of 2.29 and their pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.46.

The Cardinals had sent 484 relievers to the mound for the previous season. The bullpen inherited 274 runners in the previous season and 32.5% of them earned a run for their team. They earned 36 saves last season and blew 28 out of their 64 chances to save the game. The Cardinals relievers accumulated a save percentage of 56.3% and entered the game in 155 save situations. The relief pitchers recorded 89 holds over the course of the prior season (11th in MLB). Cardinals bullpen pitchers went to the mound with runners on 173 times in addition to having 164 contests in high leverage situations.

The Cardinals converted 67.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,855 innings, which ranked them 29th in the majors. The St. Louis Cardinals amassed 4,285 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,592 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .989 which put them in 3rd in professional baseball, and had a total of 154 double plays.

Gibson has taken the ball for 1,696 frames and has totaled 1,359 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.54 (856 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.377. He has given up 1,747 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 589 walks. Gibson (104-100 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.27 and he has gone up against 7,274 batters in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres had an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a batting average of .244 for the previous season. They were called out on strikes on 1,311 occasions (23rd in the league) and were sitting with 1,316 base hits. San Diego hit 205 HRs for the previous season in addition to 719 RBIs. The Padres had a team slugging percentage of .413 and they averaged 4.64 runs per contest (13th in the league). They hit 273 two-baggers, while taking a walk 653 times as well as putting up 752 runs.

The Padres had a WHIP of 1.268 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.14 as a staff during the previous year. Their K/BB ratio was 9.00 (1,445 strikeouts against 557 free passes). They were sitting at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,270. They surrendered 174 long balls and they allowed 4.05 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff relinquished 648 runs in the prior season while having an ERA of 3.73 (598 earned runs allowed).

San Diego had relief pitchers enter the game in 64 save chances and they earned 36 saves. They were sitting at 24th in the league with a save percentage of 56.3%, and they dispatched 508 bullpen pitchers onto the field last season. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound 155 times in high leverage situations and on 115 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relievers had an inherited score rate of 39.1% of 174 inherited runners. Ending the season with 148 save situations, the Padres accumulated 83 holds and 28 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres turned 130 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in the majors). The Padres had 1,444 assists, 73 errors and earned 4,323 putouts last year. In their 12,969 innings on the diamond, the Padres had a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (6th in professional baseball).

Waldron (1-3 career mark) holds a 4.35 ERA while conceding 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.58 and he has faced 173 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 20 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.234 and a FIP of 5.5. During his pro baseball career, Waldron has conceded 39 base hits while he has earned 31 strikeouts in 41 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis

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