St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-105) New York (-115)

The St. Louis Cardinals (12-14) are en route to Citi Field on Sunday where they will take on the New York Mets (13-12). The odds on this game have St. Louis at -105 and New York is priced at -115. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers are Sonny Gray and Adrian Houser.

St. Louis is slugging .339 and have been called out on strikes 216 times, while taking a walk on 90 occasions. They have earned 86 RBI's as well as 184 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is at .219. The Cardinals have hit 37 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 18 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 91 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .302. As a unit, the St. Louis Cardinals are compiling 3.5 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in MLB.

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The Cardinals hold a team ERA of 4.03 so far this season (19th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 217 batters. Cardinals pitchers have given up 30 long balls and 115 total runs (20th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 74 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.98 as a squad on the campaign. St. Louis has surrendered 226 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 103 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Cardinals have sent 81 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 31 base runners on the year with 38.7% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 9 saves over the course of the season and have blown 2 out of their 11 save opportunities. The Cardinals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 81.8% and stepped onto the hill in 33 save situations. The bullpen have notched 22 holds over the course of the season (2nd in baseball). Cardinals pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 25 times and also have had 20 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cardinals have converted 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,070 innings, which has them sitting at 25th in the majors. The St. Louis Cardinals have amassed 690 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 236 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which ranks 3rd in pro baseball, and they have turned 32 double plays.

Gray (25-27 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.35 while he has faced 2,162 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 491 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 189 walks. His ERA is 4.19 (235 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.347. Gray has taken the mound for 505 frames and has accounted for 455 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .388 and they average 4.60 runs per game (11th in the league). They have tallied 38 two-baggers, while getting a free base 83 times as well as scoring 115 runs. New York has 27 home runs for the season to go along with 109 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 186 instances (28th in the league) and are sitting with 210 hits. The New York Mets hold a team on-base percentage of .322 as well as a batting average of .246 for the season.

The New York pitching staff have given up 107 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.55 (88 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 16 long balls and they surrender 4.32 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.318 in addition to having a FIP of 3.60 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.70 (241 strikeouts against 111 free passes). They are currently ranked 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 183.

New York has had relievers enter the contest in 10 save chances and they have converted 7 saves. They are ranked 13th in the league holding a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have sent 85 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have taken the field 35 times in high leverage situations in addition to 26 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of their 35 inherited base runners. Sitting with 26 save situations, the Mets have recorded 16 holds and 3 blown saves.

In 2,007 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (20th in the majors). The New York Mets have gotten 21 double plays and have a fielding rate of .978 (29th in the majors). The Mets have 193 assists, 19 errors and have accumulated 669 putouts for the year.

Houser (7-15 mark in his career) has a 4.96 earned run average while conceding 9.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.21 and he has gone up against 985 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 127 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.407 and a FIP of 4.9. During his pro baseball career, Houser has given up 244 base hits while he has tallied 177 strikeouts in 230 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-105)

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