St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-102) Milwaukee (-116)

American Family Field is where the Milwaukee Brewers (22-15) will attempt to defeat the St. Louis Cardinals (15-22) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has St. Louis at -102 and Milwaukee is coming in at -116. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Kyle Gibson and Freddy Peralta.

As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are notching 3.4 runs per contest, which has them at 29th in the league. They have 127 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .296. The Cardinals have hit 57 doubles as a team and have knocked 27 balls out of the park. They have 121 RBI's and 263 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is .217. St. Louis has a slugging % of .339 and have been called out on strikes 320 times, while drawing a walk on 125 occasions.

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The Cardinals have compiled a team ERA of 4.08 so far this year (19th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 306 hitters. Cardinals pitchers have given up 45 home runs and also 168 runs in total (18th in the league). They have walked 100 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.08 as a squad on the season. St. Louis has conceded 321 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 149 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 37 times as well as having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 25 holds this season (9th in MLB). The Cardinals relievers have a save percentage of 80.0% and has entered the game in 40 save situations. They have recorded 12 saves on the campaign and have not converted 3 of their 15 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 47 runners on the campaign and 40.4% of those players earned a run for their team. The Cardinals have sent 115 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a total of 986 putouts for the season, in addition to 334 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .990 which has them ranked 2nd in baseball, and have 37 double plays. The Cardinals have turned 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,958 innings on the field, ranking them 22nd in pro baseball.

Gibson has thrown 147 innings and has totaled 155 strikeouts so far in his career. Gibson (9-10 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.32 and he has gone up against 615 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.73 (61 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.276. He has allowed 133 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 55 free passes.

Milwaukee has a total of 47 home runs so far this year as well as 174 RBIs. They have recorded 59 doubles, while taking a walk 138 times as well as recording 184 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled a team on-base percentage of .332 and a team batting average of .254 so far this season. The Brewers hold a team slugging percentage of .420 and they average 4.97 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 338 occasions (7th in the league) and have tallied 325 base hits.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.311 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.41 as a squad on the year. They are sitting at 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 300. The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 159 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.01 (146 earned runs given up). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (295 strikeouts vs 130 bases on balls). They have surrendered 43 home runs and they surrender 4.36 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Milwaukee has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 17 save opportunities and they have earned 12 saves. They sit at 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 70.6%, and they have sent 123 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 42 times in high leverage situations in addition to 37 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.8% out of 57 inherited base runners. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 19 holds in addition to 5 blown saves.

Out of their 2,952 innings played, the Brewers have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (9th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 25 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (7th in pro baseball). The Brewers have racked up 318 assists, 18 errors and have earned a total of 984 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Peralta has allowed 450 base knocks while he has accumulated 799 K's in 619 frames. He has given up a total of 262 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.116 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.32 and he has faced 2,560 opposing batters so far in his career. Peralta (45-28 career win-loss mark) has a 3.81 earned run average and has allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-102)

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