St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, July 21, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Truist Park is the site where the Atlanta Braves (53-42) will try to beat the St. Louis Cardinals (50-46) on Sunday. The men taking the mound will be Miles Mikolas and Max Fried.

As a squad, the St. Louis Cardinals are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 22nd in MLB. They have accumulated 398 runs while having a team OBP of .310. The Cardinals have compiled 149 doubles as a squad and have smacked 94 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 374 RBI's and 799 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is at .245. St. Louis owns a slugging percentage of .384 and have been called out on strikes 807 times, while drawing a walk on 279 occasions.

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The Cardinals have compiled a team ERA of 4.02 for the year (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 780 hitters. Cardinals pitchers have conceded 104 home runs and 436 total runs (19th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 269 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.95 as a team over the course of the season. St. Louis has allowed 818 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 383 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.90 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27.

The Cardinals have dispatched 306 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 141 runners on the season and 36.2% of them crossed home plate. They have recorded 35 saves on the season and have blown 13 of 48 save opportunities. The Cardinals bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 72.9% and has entered the game in 122 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 74 holds this season (3rd in baseball). Cardinals pitchers have come into the game with players on base 99 times in addition to having 106 appearances in high leverage situations.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a tally of 2,572 putouts for the season, as well as 888 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 7th in the majors, and they have turned 97 double plays. The Cardinals have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,716 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 21st in MLB.

Mikolas (61-61 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.00 while he has faced 4,293 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 1,033 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 202 walks. His earned run average is 4.06 (468 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.192. Mikolas has pitched in 1,036 innings and has 750 strikeouts during his career.

The Atlanta Braves hold a team on-base percentage of .304 and a batting average of .241 so far this year. They have struck out on 844 occasions (10th in MLB) and have a total of 774 base hits. Atlanta has knocked in 109 HRs on the season to go along with 386 runs batted in. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .405 and they are earning 4.28 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have put up 178 two-baggers, while getting a free base 266 times and notching 407 runs.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.188 in addition to having a FIP of 3.53 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (840 strikeouts vs 269 free passes). They rank 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 731. They have conceded 81 homers and they concede 3.66 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 342 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.40 (318 earned runs relinquished).

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 26 saves. They rank 6th in MLB with a save rate of 70.3%, and they have sent 275 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 84 times in high leverage situations and also on 61 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of 82 inherited runners. Sitting with 76 save situations, the Braves have 39 holds and 11 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 80 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (1st in MLB). The Braves have accrued 876 assists, 39 errors and have notched a total of 2,526 putouts on the campaign. In their 7,578 innings on the field, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Fried has conceded 728 base knocks while accumulating 792 K's in 817 frames. He has given up a total of 276 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.164 and having a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.55 and he has gone up against 3,341 batters so far in his MLB career. Fried (69-31 mark in his career) has earned a 3.04 ERA while surrendering 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis

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