Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 6/26/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Wednesday, June 26, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-138) Tampa Bay (+118)

The Tampa Bay Rays (39-40) will try to defeat the Seattle Mariners (45-36) at Tropicana Field on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Seattle at -138 and Tampa Bay opens at +118. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are George Kirby and Ryan Pepiot.

As a team, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 3.9 runs per game, which has them at 26th in the league. They have earned 317 runs and have an on-base percentage of .300. The Mariners have hit 108 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 89 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 305 runs batted in as well as 580 hits this season, while their batting average is sitting at .220. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .369 and have been called out on strikes 814 times, while drawing a walk on 268 occasions.

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The Mariners have an earned run average of 3.52 this year (7th in the league), and they have struck out 678 batters. Mariners pitchers have allowed 85 home runs and also 301 total runs (7th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 191 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.71 as a unit for the season. Seattle has given up 576 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 279 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.55 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.07.

Mariners relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 74 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 48 holds this year (8th in MLB). The Mariners relievers have a save rate of 71.9% and has come into the game in 81 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 9 of 32 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 runners so far this season and 34.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Mariners have dispatched 251 relievers to the hill for the year.

The San Francisco Giants have amassed 2,142 putouts this year, as well as 644 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and have a total of 52 double plays. The Mariners have converted 72.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,426 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 2nd in baseball.

Kirby (27-20 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.35 and he has gone up against 1,674 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 397 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 50 free passes. His earned run average is 3.40 (156 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.082. Kirby has pitched in 413 innings and has totaled 394 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Rays hold a team slugging % of .364 and they earn 3.99 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have recorded 121 two-baggers, while getting a free base 247 times and racking up 315 runs. Tampa Bay is sitting with 67 home runs on the season and 293 runs batted in. They have struck out on 715 occasions (6th in the league) and have earned 625 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a team on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .236 so far this season.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.268 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.34 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (685 strikeouts vs 226 free passes). They sit at 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 677. They have surrendered 110 long balls and they relinquish 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 376 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.36 (345 earned runs surrendered).

Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.1% out of 93 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 120 times in high leverage situations and also on 64 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Rays have accrued 46 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 18th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 269 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 41 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves.

In 6,411 innings played, the Rays are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (13th in baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 54 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (11th in professional baseball). The Rays have 606 assists, 39 errors and have 2,137 putouts for the year.

Pepiot (9-5 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.62 earned run average while giving up 6.6 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.82 and he has gone up against 589 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 58 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.110 and a FIP of 3.6. In his MLB career, Pepiot has conceded 105 hits while accumulating 155 strikeouts in 144 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Seattle (-138)

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