Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+100) Houston (-118)

The Seattle Mariners (17-14) are hitting the road to Minute Maid Park on Saturday where they will compete against the Houston Astros (11-20). The line on this contest has the Mariners at +100 and the Astros are sitting at -118. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Logan Gilbert and Framber Valdez.

As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 3.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 26th in MLB. They have racked up 111 runs scored while having a team OBP of .297. The Mariners have earned 31 doubles as a squad and have hit 31 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 108 RBI's as well as 220 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .219. Seattle owns a slugging percentage of .352 and have been called out on strikes 323 times, while being walked on 103 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.93 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.03. Mariners pitchers have given up 30 home runs and 102 runs in total (2nd in MLB). Seattle has conceded 211 base hits (6.9 per 9 innings) and also 91 earned runs. The Mariners have compiled a team ERA of 2.96 this year (2nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 291 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 74 batters and their FIP is 3.38 as a team on the year.

The Mariners bullpen have a save percentage of 88.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 25 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 36 runners on the year with 25.0% of those runners crossed the plate. Mariners relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 26 times in addition to having 24 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have sent 93 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have a total of 16 holds on the season (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 8 saves this season and have blown 1 of 9 save opportunities.

The San Francisco Giants have earned 829 putouts so far this season, in addition to 224 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which ranks 22nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 17 double plays. The Mariners have turned 72.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,487 innings, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball.

Gilbert (34-18 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 2,189 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 474 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 122 walks. His earned run average is 3.63 (216 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.113. Gilbert has taken the hill for 535 innings and has racked up 535 K's during his career.

The Astros have a slugging percentage of .420 and they earn 4.58 runs per game (15th in the league). They have tallied 52 doubles, while getting a free base 96 times and racking up 142 runs. Houston has hit 37 long balls this year as well as 136 runs batted in. They have struck out on 203 occasions (30th in the league) and have earned a total of 287 base hits. The Houston Astros have an on-base percentage of .329 as well as a team batting average of .264 over the course of the season.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.456 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a team this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (262 strikeouts vs 131 walks). They are sitting at 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 268. They have conceded 30 long balls and they yield 5.19 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Houston pitching staff have conceded 158 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.80 (146 earned runs yielded).

Houston has called on relievers to take the mound in 9 save chances and they have earned 2 saves. They sit at 30th in MLB with a save rate of 22.2%, and they have dispatched 107 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 32 times in high leverage situations and also on 25 occasions with runners on. Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.0% of 40 inherited runners. With 22 save situations, the Astros have compiled 13 holds in addition to 7 blown saves.

In 2,466 innings played, the Astros hold a efficiency on defense of 67.7% (27th in the majors). The Houston Astros have turned 28 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (14th in the majors). The Astros have recorded 259 assists, 16 errors and have earned a total of 822 putouts this year.

So far in his MLB career, Valdez has conceded 617 hits while he has totaled 713 K's in 729 innings pitched. Valdez (54-34 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.38 earned run average while surrendering 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 274 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.218 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 and he has faced 3,046 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Seattle (+100)

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