Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (55-49) will meet the Seattle Mariners (56-51) on Tuesday. The expected starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and James Paxton.

The Mariners have accounted for 141 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 121 baseballs out of the stadium. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .368 and have been called out on strikes 1,092 times, while drawing a walk on 357 occasions. As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are earning 3.9 runs per contest, which is 28th in baseball. They have accounted for 392 runs batted in as well as 761 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .218. They have earned 412 runs and have an OBP of .300.

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The Mariners have compiled a team earned run average of 3.35 so far this year (1st in the league), and they have rung up 904 batters. Mariners pitchers have conceded 106 home runs in addition to 387 total runs (2nd in the league). They have walked 251 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.61 as a squad so far this season. Seattle has surrendered 760 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 353 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.60 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.07.

The Mariners relief pitchers have a save percentage of 65.9% and has come into the game in 105 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 143 base runners so far this season and 35.7% of them crossed the plate. Mariners relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 98 times and also have had 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have sent 338 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have 59 holds this year (13th in the league). They have recorded 29 saves for the year and have not converted 15 of 44 save chances.

The Mariners have converted 72.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,523 innings, which has them ranked 1st in professional baseball. The San Francisco Giants have notched a total of 2,841 putouts for the season, in addition to 882 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 21st in MLB, and they have turned 76 double plays.

Castillo (70-74 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.47 while he has gone up against 4,891 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 996 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 397 walks. His ERA is 3.53 (464 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.176. Castillo has taken the hill for 1,184 innings and is sitting with 1,282 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .326 as well as a batting average of .258 so far this season. They have struck out on 1,006 instances (4th in baseball) and have earned 931 base knocks. Boston has recorded 127 home runs on the year to go along with 481 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .434 and they are earning 4.80 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have recorded 201 two-baggers, while taking a walk 328 times and putting up 499 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 477 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.91 (407 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 117 dingers and they surrender 4.59 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.237 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a team so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (893 strikeouts vs 282 walks). They come in at 17th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 876.

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.6% out of their 122 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations and also on 90 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 102 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 53 holds and 20 blown saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 57.4%, and they have dispatched 321 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 47 save opportunities and they have earned 27 saves.

Out of their 8,427 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (25th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 72 double plays and have a fielding rate of .979 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 913 assists, 78 errors and have earned a total of 2,809 putouts during this campaign.

Paxton (72-40 career mark) has a 3.77 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.19 and he has faced 3,931 hitters during his MLB career. He has given up 393 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.247 and having a FIP of 3.7. In his MLB career, Paxton has given up 859 base knocks while earning 996 strikeouts in 939 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Seattle

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