San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: NBC Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (+100) San Diego (-120)

The San Diego Padres (82-80 last season) will try to beat the San Francisco Giants (79-83 last year) at Petco Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Giants at +100 while the Padres open at -120. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Logan Webb and Yu Darvish.

San Francisco had a slugging percentage of .383 and were called out on strikes 1,492 times, while taking a walk on 544 occasions. They accumulated 651 RBI's and 1,271 hits over the course of last season, while their batting average sat at .235. The Giants recorded 256 two-baggers as a squad and hit 174 balls out of the park. They accumulated 674 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .312. As a team, the San Francisco Giants notched 4.2 runs per game, which put them at 24th in baseball.

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They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.37 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.25. Giants pitchers allowed 173 home runs and 719 runs in total (15th in the league). San Francisco allowed 1,395 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and also 641 earned runs. The Giants finished with a team ERA of 4.02 during the previous year (12th in baseball), and the staff rung up 1,359 batters. Their pitching staff walked 403 hitters and their FIP finished at 3.92 as a unit during the previous year.

Giants relief pitchers entered the game with runners on base 152 times in addition to having 168 contests in high leverage situations. The bullpen had a total of 72 holds for the prior year (25th in baseball). The Giants relievers earned a save rate of 64.9% and stepped onto the hill in 151 save situations. They recorded 50 saves last season and did not convert 27 out of their 77 chances to save the game. The bullpen inherited 209 base runners over the course of last year with 34.0% of those runners crossed the plate. The Giants dispatched 496 relievers to the hill in the prior season.

The Giants converted 67.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,912 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting at 26th in MLB. The Seattle Mariners earned a total of 4,304 putouts in the prior season, in addition to 1,606 assists and 117 errors. Their fielding rate was previously at .987 which was 8th in MLB, and had a total of 143 double plays.

Webb (42-32 career mark) has a FIP of 3.17 and he has gone up against 2,653 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 608 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 154 free passes. His earned run average is 3.40 (246 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.171. Webb has pitched in 650 innings and has accumulated 598 punch outs in his career.

The San Diego Padres held an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a batting average of .244 in the previous season. They were rung up on 1,311 instances (23rd in baseball) and were sitting with 1,316 hits. San Diego recorded 205 home runs in the prior season in addition to 719 runs batted in. The Padres held a slugging percentage of .413 and they were recording 4.64 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They recorded 273 doubles, while taking a walk 653 times and scoring 752 runs.

The Padres had a team WHIP of 1.268 with a FIP of 4.14 as a staff over the course of the prior season. They finished at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,270. The San Diego pitching staff relinquished 648 runs last season while having an ERA of 3.73 (598 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio was 9.00 (1,445 strikeouts against 557 free passes). They yielded 174 long balls and they relinquished 4.05 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball).

With 148 save situations, the Padres amassed 83 holds and 28 blown saves. San Diego had relievers step onto the mound in 64 save chances and they recorded 36 saves. Their relievers took the field 155 times in high leverage situations in addition to 115 occasions with base runners. San Diego relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 39.1% of 174 inherited base runners. They were sitting at 24th in the league with a save rate of 56.3%, and they dispatched 508 relievers onto the diamond last season.

The San Diego Padres had 130 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). The Padres accrued 1,444 assists, 73 errors and accumulated 4,323 putouts over the course of the prior season. Out of their 12,969 innings on the field, the Padres accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (6th in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Darvish has given up 1,331 base knocks while earning 1,932 K's in 1,628 innings pitched. Darvish (103-85 career mark) has earned a 3.58 ERA and has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 648 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.140 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.68 and he has gone up against 6,695 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-120)

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