San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (+124) Philadelphia (-146)

Citizens Bank Park is where the Philadelphia Phillies (21-11) will attempt to beat the San Francisco Giants (15-17) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Giants at +124 and the Phillies open at -146. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Keaton Winn and Ranger Suarez.

As a squad, the San Francisco Giants are scoring 3.8 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in the league. They have racked up 121 runs and hold an OBP of .303. The Giants have hit 46 two-baggers as a team and have hit 29 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 115 RBI's and 249 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is .238. San Francisco has a slugging rate of .370 and have been called out on strikes 252 times, while taking a walk on 95 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Giants pitchers have conceded 28 home runs and also 144 total runs (23rd in the league). San Francisco has conceded 272 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 136 earned runs. The Giants have a team earned run average of 4.39 over the course of the season (24th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 244 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 90 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.86 as a team for the season.

The Giants bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and has entered the game in 24 save situations. The relievers have inherited 35 runners over the course of the season with 45.7% of them ended up scoring. Giants relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 22 times and also have had 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The Giants have sent 101 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 15 holds so far this year (24th in baseball). They have accumulated 6 saves this year and have blown 3 of their 9 save chances.

The Giants have converted 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,511 innings, which ranks them 26th in pro baseball. The Seattle Mariners have amassed 837 putouts this season, as well as 355 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 9th in baseball, and they have turned 35 double plays.

Winn (4-6 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.07 and he has gone up against 302 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 59 base knocks (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 18 walks. His earned run average is 4.01 (34 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.009. Winn has taken the hill for 76 frames and has totaled 63 punch outs thus far in his career.

Philadelphia has recorded 40 HRs on the campaign and 144 runs batted in. They have hit 41 two-baggers, while getting a free base 115 times and recording 149 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team OBP of .328 and a batting average of .255 for the year. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .414 and they are recording 4.66 runs per outing (13th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 274 occasions (13th in baseball) and have notched a total of 273 hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 122 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.37 (107 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 28 long balls and they surrender 3.84 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.154 and have a FIP of 3.35 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.50 (303 strikeouts against 94 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 236.

Sitting with 33 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 17 holds and also 6 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 16 save opportunities and they have come away with 10 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 41 times in high leverage situations in addition to 24 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 48.6% out of their 35 inherited base runners. They are ranked 19th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.5%, and they have sent 95 relievers onto the diamond on the year.

In 2,574 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (14th in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 17 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (19th in professional baseball). The Phillies have racked up 299 assists, 20 errors and have notched a total of 858 putouts this season.

During his pro baseball career, Suarez has allowed 455 base knocks and he has 449 strikeouts in 495 innings pitched. Suarez (34-21 career record) has earned a 3.24 earned run average and has given up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 178 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.255 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and he has faced 2,064 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-146)

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