San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: FS1

Dodger Stadium is the location where the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) will take on the San Diego Padres (93-69) on Sunday in Game 2 of the NLDS. The starting pitchers are Yu Darvish and Jack Flaherty. The Padres open at +170 while LA opens at -205. The total is set at 8.

The Padres have recorded 259 doubles as a team and have smacked 190 baseballs out of the park. San Diego has a slugging percentage of .420 and have been called out on strikes 1,077 times, while drawing a walk on 458 occasions. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have tallied 726 RBI's in addition to 1,456 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is .263. They are sitting with 760 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .324.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.15 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22. Padres pitchers have relinquished 169 home runs in addition to 669 runs (11th in baseball). San Diego has allowed 1,296 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 617 earned runs. The Padres are sitting with a team ERA of 3.86 so far this season (12th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,453 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 462 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.77 as a unit so far this season.

The Padres relievers have earned a save rate of 65.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 154 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 246 runners for the year and 33.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. Padres bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 163 times in addition to having 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 539 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen have earned 85 holds so far this year (15th in baseball). They have compiled 44 saves on the season and have blown 23 out of their 67 save opportunities.

The San Diego Padres have earned 4,318 putouts this season, in addition to 1,297 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which ranks 6th in MLB, and they have turned 117 double plays. The Padres have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,954 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in the majors.

Darvish has taken the hill for 1,705 innings and has accounted for 2,007 K's in his career. His earned run average is 3.58 (678 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.136. He has given up 1,394 base knocks (7.4 hits per 9 innings) with 544 free passes. Darvish (110-88 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.52 while facing 7,009 hitters in the major leagues.

The Dodgers have a team SLG% of .446 and they average 5.20 runs per contest (2nd in MLB). They have hit 291 doubles, while walking 602 times and scoring 842 runs. Los Angeles has a total of 233 home runs over the course of the season as well as 815 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,336 occasions (19th in baseball) and have earned 1,423 base hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers have compiled an on-base percentage of .335 and a team batting average of .258 for the year.

The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 686 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.90 (626 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 198 homers and they concede 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Dodgers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.228 with a FIP of 4.18 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (1,390 strikeouts vs 501 bases on balls). They are sitting at 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,273.

Los Angeles relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of their 160 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 179 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with runners on. With 186 save situations, the Dodgers have earned 104 holds in addition to 29 blown saves. They sit at 18th in the league with a save rate of 63.3%, and they have sent 565 relievers to the mound on the year. Los Angeles has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 79 save opportunities and they have come away with 50 saves.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have gotten 119 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (18th in MLB). The Dodgers have recorded 1,366 assists, 88 errors and have accumulated 4,337 putouts during this campaign. In their 13,011 innings on the field, the Dodgers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (2nd in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Flaherty has surrendered 689 hits while he has totaled 942 K's in 829 innings pitched. Flaherty (55-41 career mark) holds a 3.64 ERA and has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 335 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.183 and having a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 3.23 and he has faced 3,439 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-205)

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