San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: FS1

The San Diego Padres (93-69) are en route to Dodger Stadium on Saturday where they will try to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) in Game 1 of the NLDS. The starting pitchers are Dylan Cease and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The opening line has LA at -149 while San Diego opens at +126. The total opens at 8.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in MLB. They are sitting with 760 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. The Padres have accrued 259 doubles as a team and have hit 190 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 726 runs batted in in addition to 1,456 hits for the season, while their average at the plate sits at .263. San Diego has a slugging percentage of .420 and have been called out on strikes 1,077 times, while being walked on 458 occasions.

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The Padres have an earned run average of 3.86 so far this season (12th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,453 hitters. Padres pitchers have yielded 169 long balls and 669 runs in total (11th in the league). They have walked 462 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.77 as a squad for the year. San Diego has yielded 1,296 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 617 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22.

Padres relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 163 times and also have had 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 85 holds for the season (15th in the league). The Padres relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 65.7% and stepped onto the hill in 154 save situations. They have accumulated 44 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 23 of their 67 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 246 base runners this year and 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have sent 539 relievers to the hill this season.

The Padres have turned 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,954 innings, ranking them 16th in MLB. The San Diego Padres have earned 4,318 putouts this season, as well as 1,297 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which has them sitting 6th in MLB, and they have turned 117 double plays.

Cease (57-46 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.69 and he has faced 3,582 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 702 base hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 359 walks. His earned run average is 3.75 (353 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.253. Cease has thrown 847 innings and has accounted for 1,016 strikeouts so far in his career.

Los Angeles has hit 233 long balls so far this season as well as 815 runs batted in. They have recorded 291 doubles, while taking a walk 602 times and scoring 842 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned an on-base percentage of .335 and a team batting average of .258 on the season. The Dodgers have a team SLG% of .446 and they tally 5.20 runs per game (2nd in MLB). They have struck out on 1,336 occasions (19th in the league) and have earned 1,423 base hits.

The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 686 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.90 (626 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 198 dingers and they concede 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Dodgers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.228 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.18 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (1,390 strikeouts vs 501 walks). They come in at 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,273.

Los Angeles bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.5% out of their 160 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 179 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 186 save situations, the Dodgers have amassed 104 holds and 29 blown saves. They are ranked 18th in MLB holding a save percentage of 63.3%, and they have dispatched 565 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Los Angeles has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 79 save chances and they have walked away with 50 saves.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 119 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 1,366 assists, 88 errors and have notched a total of 4,337 putouts this season. Out of their 13,011 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (2nd in pro baseball).

In his career, Yamamoto has allowed 78 hits while he has totaled 105 K's in 90 innings. He has conceded 30 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.111 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.77 and he has gone up against 368 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Yamamoto (7-2 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.00 earned run average while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-149)

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