San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Friday, October 11, 2024

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: FOX

Dodger Stadium is where the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) will go up against the San Diego Padres (93-69) on Friday in Game 5 of the NLDS. The men taking the mound are Yu Darvish and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The opening line has the Dodgers at -145 while San Diego opens at +120. The total is set at 8.

The Padres have earned 259 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 190 balls out of the park. San Diego is slugging .420 and have struck out 1,077 times, while being walked on 458 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in baseball. They have accounted for 726 runs batted in in addition to 1,456 base knocks this year, and their batting average is sitting at .263. They have notched a total of 760 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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The Padres have an earned run average of 3.86 on the year (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,453 hitters. Padres pitchers have allowed 169 home runs and also 669 total runs (11th in the league). They have walked 462 hitters and their FIP is 3.77 as a unit so far this year. San Diego has relinquished 1,296 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 617 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22.

Padres relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 163 times in addition to having 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 85 holds this year (15th in baseball). The Padres bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 65.7% and has entered the game in 154 save situations. They have compiled 44 saves this season and have blown 23 of their 67 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 246 base runners so far this year and 33.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Padres have sent 539 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The San Diego Padres have 4,318 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,297 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which ranks 6th in MLB, and have earned 117 double plays. The Padres have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of 12,954 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 16th in professional baseball.

Darvish (110-88 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.52 and he has faced 7,009 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,394 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) with 544 free passes. His earned run average is 3.58 (678 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.136. Darvish has taken the mound for 1,705 innings and has accounted for 2,007 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Dodgers have a team slugging percentage of .446 and they earn 5.20 runs per contest (2nd in the league). They have hit 291 doubles, while getting a free base 602 times as well as putting up 842 runs. Los Angeles has accounted for 233 home runs for the season to go along with 815 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,336 instances (19th in the league) and have accounted for 1,423 base hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers have recorded a team OBP of .335 in addition to a batting average of .258 for the year.

The Dodgers have a WHIP of 1.228 and have a FIP of 4.18 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (1,390 strikeouts against 501 free passes). They sit at 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,273. They have conceded 198 homers and they yield 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Los Angeles pitching staff have surrendered 686 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.90 (626 earned runs yielded).

With 186 save situations, the Dodgers have 104 holds and also 29 blown saves. Los Angeles has called on relievers to take the mound in 79 save chances and they have tallied 50 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 179 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with runners on. Los Angeles relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.5% out of 160 inherited runners. They rank 18th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.3%, and they have sent 565 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.

Out of their 13,011 innings on the field, the Dodgers have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (2nd in MLB). The Los Angeles Dodgers have gotten 119 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Dodgers have 1,366 assists, 88 errors and have a total of 4,337 putouts on the season.

In his pro baseball career, Yamamoto has surrendered 78 hits and he has 105 strikeouts in 90 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 30 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.111 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 4.77 and he has faced 368 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Yamamoto (7-2 career mark) has earned a 3.00 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (+120)

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