San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/23/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, May 23, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-130) Cincinnati (+110)

The Cincinnati Reds (20-28) welcome the San Diego Padres (25-26) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has San Diego at -130 while Cincinnati is sitting at +110. The total is 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Matt Waldron and Frankie Montas.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 11th in MLB. They have accounted for 229 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. The Padres have recorded 71 doubles as a team and have hit 51 balls out of the park. They have amassed 219 runs batted in in addition to 436 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is .257. San Diego has a slugging rate of .396 and have been rung up 370 times, while being walked on 159 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.23. Padres pitchers have given up 56 home runs and also 217 runs in total (20th in the league). San Diego has surrendered 394 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 197 earned runs. The Padres have an ERA of 4.00 on the year (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 438 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 149 batters and their FIP is 3.96 as a team over the course of the season.

The Padres have dispatched 163 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 79 runners on the year with 36.7% of those players crossed home plate. They have recorded 14 saves for the year and have missed out on 5 of their 19 save opportunities. The Padres bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 73.7% and has entered the game in 43 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 23 holds so far this year (23rd in baseball). Padres bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 55 times in addition to having 44 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,990 innings, which has them ranked 18th in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have earned a total of 1,330 putouts on the year, as well as 398 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which puts them in 14th in MLB, and have 40 double plays.

Waldron has pitched in 86 innings and is sitting with 76 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.69 (45 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.332. He has surrendered 86 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 29 free passes. Waldron (3-8 career record) holds a FIP of 4.70 and he has gone up against 372 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has hit 43 home runs on the campaign and 183 RBIs. They have put up 70 doubles, while taking a walk 152 times and scoring 195 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team on-base percentage of .294 and a batting average of .217 so far this season. The Reds hold a slugging % of .358 and they are scoring 4.15 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have been rung up on 437 occasions (7th in MLB) and have earned a total of 333 base knocks.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 202 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.00 (183 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 51 homers and they allow 4.41 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.257 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a squad this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (406 strikeouts vs 152 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 12th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 366.

Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.8% of 66 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 47 times in high leverage situations in addition to 39 occasions with runners on. With 34 save situations, the Reds have accrued 23 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They are ranked 10th in MLB holding a save rate of 70.0%, and they have sent 148 relievers to the mound this year. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 10 save chances and they have earned 7 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 24 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (13th in the majors). The Reds have 328 assists, 25 errors and have earned a total of 1,238 putouts this year. In their 3,714 innings on the diamond, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (7th in pro baseball).

Montas (39-38 career mark) has earned a 3.92 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and he has gone up against 2,680 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has given up 274 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.298 and having a FIP of 3.9. So far in his MLB career, Montas has allowed 604 base hits while he has tallied 637 K's in 628 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110) and under 9.5 runs

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