San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, May 21, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds (19-28) will play the San Diego Padres (24-24) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The pitchers expected to start will be Joe Musgrove and Andrew Abbott.

The Padres have compiled 68 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 51 baseballs out of the park. San Diego is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 355 times, while taking a walk on 155 occasions. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 8th in the league. They have amassed 213 RBI's as well as 419 hits for the season, and their batting average sits at .257. They have notched a total of 223 runs scored and have an OBP of .325.

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The Padres hold a team ERA of 3.99 for the year (16th in the league), and the staff has rung up 425 batters. Padres pitchers have yielded 53 long balls and also 209 runs in total (17th in baseball). They have walked 145 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.93 as a unit so far this year. San Diego has allowed 371 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 189 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.93 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

Padres bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 54 times in addition to having 42 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 22 holds so far this year (24th in baseball). The Padres bullpen have earned a save percentage of 72.2% and has entered the game in 41 save situations. They have compiled 13 saves on the season and have not converted 5 of 18 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 78 base runners so far this season with 37.2% of those players crossed the plate. The Padres have dispatched 157 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The San Diego Padres have 1,279 putouts so far this season, in addition to 382 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 15th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 38 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,837 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in MLB.

Musgrove has taken the hill for 997 innings and has tallied 985 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.83 (424 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.180. He has given up 925 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 252 free passes. Musgrove (63-60 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.85 and he has gone up against 4,154 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

Cincinnati is sitting with 43 home runs so far this season to go along with 183 RBIs. They have hit 70 two-baggers, while getting a free base 152 times and recording 195 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team on-base percentage of .294 in addition to a batting average of .217 over the course of the season. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .358 and they tally 4.15 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have struck out on 437 instances (7th in baseball) and have recorded 333 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 202 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.00 (183 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 51 HR's and they concede 4.41 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.257 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.09 as a squad this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (406 strikeouts against 152 bases on balls). They come in at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 366.

Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.8% of 66 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 47 times in high leverage situations in addition to 39 occasions with runners on. With 34 save situations, the Reds have earned 23 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 148 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Cincinnati has called on relievers to take the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have recorded 7 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (14th in professional baseball). The Reds have 328 assists, 25 errors and have 1,238 putouts this season. Out of their 3,714 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (7th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Abbott has given up 143 hits while accumulating 161 punch outs in 159 innings. He has given up a total of 64 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.262 and a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.78 and he has faced 663 opposing batters in his career. Abbott (10-10 mark in his career) has earned a 3.62 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego

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