San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, May 6, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-102) Chicago (-126)

The Chicago Cubs (21-14) will try to beat the San Diego Padres (18-18) at Wrigley Field on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Padres at -102 while the Cubs are at -126. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Yu Darvish and Justin Steele.

San Diego has a slugging % of .410 and have been called out on strikes 270 times, while being walked on 117 occasions. They have 175 RBI's in addition to 315 hits this year, and their team batting average is at .258. The Padres have hit 58 doubles as a unit and have hit 39 balls out of the park. They have racked up 183 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 5th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.63 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Padres pitchers have conceded 41 long balls and also 165 runs in total (24th in the league). San Diego has conceded 285 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 146 earned runs. The Padres have an ERA of 4.10 this year (20th in the league), and the staff has rung up 300 hitters. They have walked 114 opposing players and their FIP is 4.18 as a unit for the year.

The Padres have sent 121 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 62 runners for the season with 37.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have 10 saves this year and have blown 3 of 13 save opportunities. The Padres relievers have a save rate of 76.9% and has come into the game in 30 save situations. The relievers have notched 16 holds this season (24th in baseball). Padres relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 42 times as well as having 32 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have transformed 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,883 innings, ranking them 9th in baseball. The San Diego Padres have 961 putouts this season, in addition to 296 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which ranks 15th in the majors, and they have turned 28 double plays.

Darvish has taken the hill for 1,653 frames and is sitting with 1,954 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Darvish (104-86 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.51 while he has gone up against 6,797 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.59 (659 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.140. He has given up 1,352 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) with 532 walks.

Chicago has accounted for 35 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 153 runs batted in. They have put up 51 doubles, while getting a free base 122 times and putting up 163 runs. The Chicago Cubs have accumulated a team OBP of .315 as well as a batting average of .236 for the season. The Cubs have a team SLG% of .390 and they average 4.79 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have struck out on 294 instances (11th in the league) and have totaled 267 base hits.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.271 and have a FIP of 3.81 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (292 strikeouts against 112 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 272. They have given up 31 homers and they concede 4.47 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have yielded 150 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.87 (130 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 42 save situations, the Cubs have earned 22 holds and 8 blown saves. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 19 save chances and they have converted 11 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 50 times in high leverage situations and on 38 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.5% of 56 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 21st in the league with a save percentage of 57.9%, and they have sent 114 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 21 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in the majors). The Cubs have accrued 275 assists, 22 errors and have earned a total of 908 putouts this year. In their 2,724 innings played, the Cubs have a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (17th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Steele has given up 331 hits and he has 367 strikeouts in 354 innings. Steele (24-16 record in his career) holds a 3.28 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 129 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.257 and having a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.22 and he has gone up against 1,494 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-126)

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