San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+124) Boston (-146)

The Boston Red Sox (43-38) welcome the San Diego Padres (45-41) at Fenway Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Padres at +124 while the Red Sox are at -146. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Matt Waldron and Josh Winckowski.

San Diego is slugging .408 and have been called out on strikes 580 times, while drawing a walk on 256 occasions. They have accumulated 385 runs batted in in addition to 760 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is .261. The Padres have accumulated 124 doubles as a squad and have hit 94 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 400 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball.

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The Padres have a team ERA of 4.09 on the season (19th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 748 batters. Padres pitchers have relinquished 94 home runs in addition to 373 runs in total (21st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 253 opposing players and their FIP is 3.91 as a unit this season. San Diego has surrendered 714 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 345 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.96 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27.

Padres relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 87 times as well as having 71 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 42 holds for the season (16th in MLB). The Padres relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 62.9% and stepped onto the hill in 78 save situations. They have 22 saves on the year and have missed out on 13 out of their 35 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 130 base runners so far this season and 36.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have sent 279 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Padres have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,837 innings on the field, which ranks them 25th in the majors. The San Diego Padres have earned 2,279 putouts this season, as well as 681 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which is 13th in pro baseball, and they have turned 61 double plays.

Waldron (6-9 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.68 and he has faced 545 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 116 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 39 free passes. His earned run average is 3.73 (54 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.190. Waldron has thrown 130 innings and has racked up 115 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Boston Red Sox hold a team on-base percentage of .322 in addition to a batting average of .253 for the year. They have been rung up on 766 occasions (5th in MLB) and have 702 hits. Boston has knocked in 91 home runs for the season and 360 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .419 and they are earning 4.64 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have put up 147 doubles, while getting a free base 256 times and scoring 376 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.185 in addition to having a FIP of 3.64 as a staff over the course of the season. They have a ranking of 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 647. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 339 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.60 (290 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (707 strikeouts against 211 bases on balls). They have conceded 79 dingers and they concede 4.21 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).

Boston has had relievers enter the game in 31 save opportunities and they have walked away with 20 saves. They rank 13th in baseball with a save rate of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 246 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 83 times in high leverage situations in addition to 64 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.3% of 89 inherited base runners. Sitting with 71 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 38 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 57 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (30th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 693 assists, 62 errors and have amassed 2,173 putouts this season. In 6,519 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Winckowski has conceded 207 hits and he has 153 strikeouts in 185 innings pitched. Winckowski (10-12 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.09 ERA while conceding 10.1 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 84 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.497 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.19 and he has faced 822 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (+124)

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