San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+130) Boston (-154)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (43-37) will go up against the San Diego Padres (44-41) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Padres at +130 and the Red Sox are coming in at -154. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Michael King and Tanner Houck.

The Padres have accumulated 123 doubles as a team and have hit 92 baseballs out of the stadium. San Diego has a slugging % of .407 and have struck out 573 times, while drawing a walk on 252 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. They have tallied 376 RBI's in addition to 748 hits this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .261. They are sitting with 391 runs and hold an OBP of .325.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.96 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.28. Padres pitchers have surrendered 93 home runs in addition to 371 total runs (22nd in the league). San Diego has given up 706 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 343 earned runs. The Padres hold a team earned run average of 4.11 on the season (19th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 742 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 251 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.92 as a team over the course of the season.

The Padres bullpen have a save rate of 62.9% and has entered the game in 78 save situations. The relievers have inherited 129 runners for the season and 36.4% of those players crossed home plate. Padres bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 86 times in addition to having 72 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 275 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 42 holds for the year (16th in the league). They have recorded 22 saves on the season and have blown 13 out of their 35 chances to get a save.

The San Diego Padres have 2,252 putouts on the campaign, as well as 677 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 13th in the majors, and they have turned 61 double plays. The Padres have converted 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,756 innings, ranking them 25th in pro baseball.

King (18-22 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.44 while he has gone up against 1,436 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 295 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 121 walks. His earned run average is 3.49 (132 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.222. King has taken the ball for 340 innings and has accounted for 391 K's so far in his career.

The Red Sox have a SLG% of .420 and they are recording 4.67 runs per outing (10th in baseball). They have 145 two-baggers, while walking 254 times as well as earning 374 runs. Boston has a total of 90 home runs for the year as well as 358 runs batted in. They have struck out on 760 instances (3rd in the league) and have earned 694 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for a team OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .253 for the season.

The Boston pitching staff have given up 330 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.54 (281 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 77 homers and they allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.177 in addition to having a FIP of 3.62 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (700 strikeouts vs 207 walks). They come in at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 635.

With 71 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 38 holds and 11 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 31 save chances and they have earned 20 saves. Their relievers have come in 82 times in high leverage situations in addition to 63 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.9% out of their 86 inherited runners. They rank 12th in the league holding a save rate of 64.5%, and they have sent 244 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 56 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 685 assists, 62 errors and have accounted for 2,146 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,438 innings played, the Red Sox have a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (18th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Houck has conceded 298 base knocks while tallying 364 K's in 355 innings. He has allowed a total of 133 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.152 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.28 and he has gone up against 1,474 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Houck (22-24 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.37 ERA while conceding 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-154)

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