San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, May 17, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

The Atlanta Braves (26-14) will try to beat the San Diego Padres (22-24) at Truist Park on Friday. The pitchers expected to start will be Matt Waldron and Max Fried.

The Padres have accounted for 66 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 48 baseballs out of the park. San Diego is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 340 times, while taking a walk on 148 occasions. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in baseball. They have tallied 201 runs batted in in addition to 392 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .253. They have racked up 211 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .321.

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The Padres have a team earned run average of 4.12 for the year (19th in the league), and the staff has struck out 396 hitters. Padres pitchers have surrendered 53 home runs in addition to 207 total runs (22nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 141 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.03 as a squad this season. San Diego has conceded 360 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 187 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Padres relievers have recorded a save rate of 70.6% and has entered the game in 37 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 76 runners on the campaign and 38.2% of those players earned a run for their team. Padres bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 52 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 151 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen have notched 19 holds for the season (28th in the league). They have tallied 12 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 5 of their 17 chances to save the game.

The Padres have converted 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,675 innings on the field, which has them ranked 10th in MLB. The San Diego Padres have notched a total of 1,225 putouts thus far, as well as 364 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which is 14th in the majors, and have a total of 35 double plays.

Waldron has pitched in 80 frames and has tallied 66 K's in his pro baseball career. Waldron (2-8 career record) holds a FIP of 4.97 while facing 349 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.91 (44 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.339. He has conceded 81 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 27 free passes.

The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .413 and they average 4.83 runs per contest (6th in the league). They have 80 two-baggers, while getting a free base 131 times as well as putting up 193 runs. Atlanta has recorded 43 home runs on the season to go along with 185 RBIs. They have struck out on 345 instances (21st in baseball) and have a total of 348 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have recorded a team OBP of .326 in addition to a team batting average of .255 for the season.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.195 with a FIP of 3.76 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (343 strikeouts against 119 walks). They rank 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 309. They have given up 40 long balls and they concede 3.64 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 145 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.37 (134 earned runs conceded).

Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 19 save chances and they have come away with 12 saves. They sit at 16th in the league holding a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have dispatched 124 relievers to the hill for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 45 times in high leverage situations and on 31 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.4% of 35 inherited base runners. Sitting with 41 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 22 holds and also 7 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 35 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in professional baseball). The Braves have 397 assists, 13 errors and have earned a total of 1,076 putouts during this campaign. In 3,228 innings played, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (7th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Fried has conceded 667 base hits and he has 734 strikeouts in 755 frames. Fried (65-27 mark in his career) has earned a 3.06 earned run average while allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 257 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.156 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.56 and he has faced 3,081 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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