San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-106) Arizona (-110)

Chase Field is where the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-19) will try to beat the San Diego Padres (17-18) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Padres at -106 and the Diamondbacks are sitting at -110. The total has been set at 10. The expected starting pitchers are Matt Waldron and Ryne Nelson.

As a squad, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB. They have earned a total of 170 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .321. The Padres have recorded 53 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 37 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 162 RBI's as well as 297 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .252. San Diego has a slugging % of .402 and have been called out on strikes 264 times, while being walked on 115 occasions.

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The Padres are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.19 for the season (20th in the league), and their staff has rung up 293 hitters. Padres pitchers have surrendered 41 home runs and 164 total runs (25th in baseball). They have walked 112 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.22 as a squad on the year. San Diego has given up 277 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 145 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Padres relievers have accumulated a save rate of 76.9% and has entered the game in 30 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 62 base runners for the season and 37.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Padres pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 42 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 118 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have 16 holds on the year (24th in the league). They have recorded 10 saves for the season and have not converted 3 of their 13 save chances.

The Padres have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of 2,802 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 11th in baseball. The San Diego Padres have notched a total of 934 putouts this season, as well as 290 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which is 15th in the majors, and they have turned 28 double plays.

Waldron has thrown 72 frames and is sitting with 58 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.35 (35 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.286. He has conceded 71 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 22 walks. Waldron (2-6 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.85 while he has gone up against 310 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Arizona has knocked in 30 home runs on the season to go along with 152 RBIs. They have 62 doubles, while walking 121 times as well as racking up 163 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have tallied a team on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .246 this season. The Diamondbacks hold a slugging % of .385 and they are recording 4.94 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have struck out on 244 occasions (25th in the league) and have earned 274 base hits.

The Arizona pitching staff have given up 151 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.22 (138 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 35 long balls and they relinquish 4.62 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.286 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.06 as a squad for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.90 (257 strikeouts against 102 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 276.

Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 46.3% out of their 41 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 37 times in high leverage situations and on 30 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 27 save situations, the Diamondbacks have earned 13 holds and 7 blown saves. They rank 27th in the league with a save percentage of 46.2%, and they have sent 107 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Arizona has had relievers enter the contest in 13 save opportunities and they have recorded 6 saves.

In 2,646 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (16th in baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 31 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in baseball). The Diamondbacks have accrued 291 assists, 17 errors and have accounted for 882 putouts over the course of the season.

During his career, Nelson has surrendered 187 base hits and he has 125 punch outs in 178 innings pitched. He has given up 96 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.371 and having a FIP of 4.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.19 and he has gone up against 759 hitters thus far in his career. Nelson (10-11 record in his career) has earned a 4.85 ERA and has given up 9.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (-110)

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