San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-116) Arizona (-102)

The San Diego Padres (16-18) are traveling to Chase Field on Saturday where they will go up against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-18). The odds on this game have the Padres at -116 and the Diamondbacks are coming in at -102. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Michael King and Brandon Pfaadt.

San Diego has a slugging % of .393 and have been called out on strikes 255 times, while taking a walk on 113 occasions. They have earned 155 RBI's as well as 285 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .250. The Padres have earned 49 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 34 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 163 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .320. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.8 runs/g, which has them sitting at 9th in MLB.

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The Padres have compiled a team ERA of 4.29 for the season (22nd in MLB), and they have rung up 283 batters. Padres pitchers have conceded 41 home runs and also 163 runs in total (25th in the league). They have walked 112 batters and their FIP is 4.32 as a squad on the year. San Diego has yielded 274 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 144 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.53 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28.

Padres relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 42 times and also have had 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 16 holds on the season (22nd in baseball). The Padres relievers have recorded a save percentage of 76.9% and has entered the game in 30 save situations. They have 10 saves for the year and have missed out on 3 out of their 13 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 62 base runners on the season with 37.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Padres have dispatched 116 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The San Diego Padres have a total of 907 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 284 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which is 18th in MLB, and they have turned 27 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,721 innings, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB.

King (15-20 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.71 and he has gone up against 1,197 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 244 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 104 walks. His earned run average is 3.59 (113 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.227. King has taken the mound for 283 innings and is sitting with 322 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Diamondbacks hold a team SLG% of .391 and they are recording 5.06 runs per outing (5th in MLB). They have hit 60 doubles, while taking a walk 121 times as well as earning 162 runs. Arizona has 30 long balls so far this season to go along with 151 RBIs. They have struck out on 234 occasions (27th in baseball) and have notched a total of 271 base hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .328 as well as a team batting average of .249 so far this year.

The Arizona pitching staff have given up 144 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.14 (131 earned runs yielded). They have given up 32 homers and they surrender 4.55 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.277 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a squad for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.80 (248 strikeouts against 100 free passes). They sit at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 264.

Arizona bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 45.0% out of their 40 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 37 times in high leverage situations and on 29 occasions with runners on base. With 27 save situations, the Diamondbacks have tallied 13 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are currently ranked 27th in the league with a save percentage of 46.2%, and they have sent 104 relievers to the mound so far this season. Arizona has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have tallied 6 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 31 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have 287 assists, 17 errors and have a total of 855 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 2,565 innings played, the Diamondbacks hold a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (15th in pro baseball).

Pfaadt (4-10 win-loss record in his career) holds a 5.43 earned run average and has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.13 and he has faced 566 hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 79 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.328 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. In his pro baseball career, Pfaadt has allowed 142 base knocks while accumulating 132 punch outs in 131 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (-102)

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