Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (5-6) will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3) on Thursday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jared Jones and Ranger Suarez.

As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are notching 5.8 runs per game, which is 5th in baseball. They have accounted for 69 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .354. The Pirates have recorded 25 doubles as a squad and have hit 12 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 67 runs batted in and 120 hits so far this year, and their batting average is .270. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .412 and have been called out on strikes 113 times, while being walked on 56 occasions.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 3.55 so far this year (9th in the league), and they have struck out 98 batters. Pirates pitchers have conceded 9 long balls in addition to 45 runs (12th in the league). They have walked 31 opposing players and their FIP is 3.46 as a team so far this season. Pittsburgh has conceded 86 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and also 41 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.16 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.13.

The Pirates have dispatched 40 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 24 base runners this season and 8.3% of those players crossed home plate. They have earned 5 saves for the year and have blown 4 out of their 9 save chances. The Pirates bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 55.6% and has come into the game in 17 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 8 holds for the season (10th in MLB). Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 17 times in addition to having 17 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 339 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 106 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .976 which puts them in 25th in professional baseball, and have earned 13 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,017 innings, which has them sitting at 12th in MLB.

Jones has taken the ball for 11 frames and has racked up 17 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Jones (1-1 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.31 and he has faced 48 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.86 (5 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 0.943. He has given up 9 base hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has 2 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies hold an on-base percentage of .316 as well as a batting average of .235 this year. They have struck out on 99 instances (11th in the league) and have earned a total of 85 base hits. Philadelphia is sitting with 11 long balls for the season as well as 39 RBIs. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .354 and they average 3.73 runs per outing (23rd in MLB). They have notched 8 doubles, while getting a free base 43 times and scoring 41 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 47 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.05 (41 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 8 dingers and they concede 4.65 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.209 in addition to having a FIP of 3.26 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.80 (99 strikeouts vs 29 bases on balls). They come in at 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 81.

With 14 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 7 holds and 3 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 7 save opportunities and they have come away with 4 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 17 times in high leverage situations and on 13 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 47.1% of 17 inherited runners. They rank 16th in baseball with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 39 relievers to the hill this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 5 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (17th in the majors). The Phillies have accrued 109 assists, 7 errors and have a tally of 297 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 891 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (18th in the majors).

In his career, Suarez has allowed 441 base hits while he has tallied 420 strikeouts in 465 innings. He has allowed 177 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.297 and a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.59 and he has faced 1,961 hitters so far in his career. Suarez (30-21 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.43 ERA and has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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