Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+110) New York (-130)

The New York Mets (8-8) will try to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-6) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Pittsburgh at +110 while New York is at -130. The total is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Bailey Falter and Luis Severino.

Pittsburgh owns a slugging percentage of .378 and have been rung up 170 times, while drawing a walk on 81 occasions. They have accumulated 85 runs batted in in addition to 154 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is .251. The Pirates have tallied 28 doubles as a squad and have hit 16 balls out of the park. They have racked up 90 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .340. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are notching 5.3 runs per contest, which is 9th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.13 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.16. Pirates pitchers have relinquished 14 long balls and also 69 total runs (8th in baseball). Pittsburgh has surrendered 134 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 63 earned runs. The Pirates have a team earned run average of 3.65 so far this year (7th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 144 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 46 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.57 as a unit on the year.

The Pirates bullpen have a save percentage of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 24 save situations. The relievers have inherited 35 base runners on the season and 17.1% of them ended up scoring. Pirates pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 24 times in addition to having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 58 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 12 holds so far this season (6th in the league). They have compiled 6 saves so far this season and have blown 6 of their 12 save opportunities.

The Pirates have turned 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,398 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for 466 putouts this year, in addition to 144 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .978 which has them ranked 27th in the majors, and have accumulated 19 double plays.

Falter (11-14 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.76 and he has faced 894 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 223 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 47 free passes. His ERA is 4.73 (112 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.266. Falter has taken the mound for 213 frames and is sitting with 174 punch outs during his MLB career.

The New York Mets have accounted for a team OBP of .333 in addition to a team batting average of .248 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 115 occasions (30th in baseball) and have recorded 136 hits. New York has 17 home runs so far this season as well as 71 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging % of .381 and they are recording 4.69 runs per outing (14th in baseball). They have put up 20 doubles, while walking 60 times and notching 75 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.310 and have a FIP of 3.56 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.70 (156 strikeouts against 67 bases on balls). They sit at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 123. They have surrendered 10 homers and they concede 4.41 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The New York pitching staff have conceded 71 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.48 (56 earned runs surrendered).

New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have tallied 5 saves. They are ranked 9th in the league holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 57 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 27 times in high leverage situations and on 17 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 21 inherited runners. With 17 save situations, the Mets have earned 10 holds and also 2 blown saves.

In 1,305 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (23rd in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 13 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (23rd in the majors). The Mets have recorded 120 assists, 11 errors and are sitting with 435 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Severino has conceded 662 base hits and he has 805 K's in 742 innings pitched. Severino (55-38 career mark) is the owner of a 3.77 ERA while conceding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 311 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.189 and having a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.64 and he has faced 3,090 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+110)

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