Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/16/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 16, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+105) New York (-124)

The New York Mets (7-8) will compete against the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-5) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Pittsburgh at +105 and New York is at -124. The over/under is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Jared Jones and Jose Quintana.

The Pirates have accumulated 28 two-baggers as a team and have hit 16 baseballs out of the stadium. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .392 and have been called out on strikes 160 times, while drawing a walk on 74 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 5.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in the league. They have recorded 82 RBI's as well as 151 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is at .259. They have tallied 87 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .344.

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The Pirates have an earned run average of 3.48 over the course of the season (6th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 138 batters. Pirates pitchers have yielded 14 long balls in addition to 63 total runs (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 42 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.57 as a team so far this season. Pittsburgh has relinquished 126 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 57 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.29 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.14.

The Pirates relief pitchers have a save percentage of 54.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 23 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 32 base runners on the campaign with 12.5% of those players ended up scoring. Pirates pitchers have come into the game with players on base 22 times and also have had 25 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 54 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have earned 12 holds for the season (6th in MLB). They have recorded 6 saves this year and have blown 5 of their 11 save opportunities.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with 442 putouts thus far, as well as 137 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .978 which is 26th in the majors, and they have turned 18 double plays. The Pirates have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,326 innings, which ranks them 8th in professional baseball.

Jones (1-2 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.86 while facing 72 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 15 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 2 free passes. His earned run average is 4.00 (8 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.944. Jones has taken the mound for 18 innings and has 25 punch outs thus far in his career.

New York has accounted for 17 home runs on the season as well as 66 runs batted in. They have 16 two-baggers, while taking a walk 56 times as well as earning 69 runs. The New York Mets have an OBP of .331 and a batting average of .248 so far this season. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .382 and they earn 4.60 runs per game (15th in baseball). They have struck out on 109 instances (29th in the league) and have 128 base knocks.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 68 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.51 (53 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 10 dingers and they concede 4.50 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.324 and have a FIP of 3.60 as a team so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.70 (146 strikeouts vs 60 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 120.

Sitting with 16 save situations, the Mets have earned 10 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 6 save chances and they have tallied 4 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 16 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.0% of 20 inherited runners. They sit at 11th in baseball holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 53 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

Out of their 1,224 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.7% (24th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 13 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (23rd in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 112 assists, 11 errors and have a tally of 408 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Quintana has conceded 1,789 base knocks and he has 1,604 K's in 1,815 frames. He has allowed a total of 754 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.281 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and he has faced 7,609 hitters in his pro baseball career. Quintana (93-94 career record) holds a 3.74 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-124)

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