Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/15/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, April 15, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+105) New York (-124)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-5) are en route to Citi Field on Monday where they will play the New York Mets (7-8). The moneyline on this matchup has the Pirates at +105 and the Mets are priced at -124. The over/under is 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Martin Perez and Adrian Houser.

The Pirates have hit 27 doubles as a team and have hit 13 balls out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .383 and have struck out 145 times, while taking a walk on 68 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, which has them at 12th in MLB. They have amassed 75 runs batted in as well as 141 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is at .258. They have racked up 78 runs and have an on-base percentage of .342.

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The Pirates have a team earned run average of 3.58 on the campaign (7th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 132 batters. Pirates pitchers have conceded 13 long balls in addition to 61 runs in total (8th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 42 opposing players and their FIP is 3.58 as a team so far this year. Pittsburgh has allowed 118 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 55 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.14 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.16.

The Pirates have sent 52 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 32 runners this year and 12.5% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 6 saves so far this season and have blown 5 of their 11 save opportunities. The Pirates relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 54.5% and stepped onto the hill in 23 save situations. The relief pitchers have 12 holds over the course of the season (6th in baseball). Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 22 times and also have had 25 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with 415 putouts this season, as well as 124 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .978 which ranks 26th in pro baseball, and have earned 15 double plays. The Pirates have turned 70.2% of balls in play into outs in their 1,245 innings, which has them ranked 9th in professional baseball.

Perez has taken the hill for 1,459 innings and has racked up 1,017 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.40 (714 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.439. He has allowed 1,577 base knocks (9.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 524 free passes. Perez (86-81 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.39 and he has gone up against 6,330 batters in the major leagues.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .389 and they average 4.79 runs per outing (14th in the league). They have put up 16 doubles, while taking a walk 50 times as well as racking up 67 runs. New York has a total of 17 home runs this year to go along with 64 RBIs. They have been rung up on 101 occasions (30th in the league) and have tallied 120 hits. The New York Mets hold a team on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .247 for the year.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.386 and have a FIP of 3.70 as a staff for the year. They rank 15th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 117. The New York pitching staff have allowed 67 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.69 (52 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.40 (132 strikeouts against 59 free passes). They have surrendered 9 home runs and they relinquish 4.75 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 5 save opportunities and they have converted 3 saves. They sit at 15th in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 50 relievers to the mound on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 22 times in high leverage situations and on 16 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.0% out of 20 inherited base runners. Sitting with 15 save situations, the Mets have amassed 10 holds and also 2 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 12 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .978 (27th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 108 assists, 11 errors and have accounted for 381 putouts for the season. In their 1,143 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.0% (25th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Houser has allowed 531 hits while tallying 443 K's in 549 innings. Houser (31-35 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.03 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 246 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.362 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.04 and he has faced 2,355 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-124)

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