Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+128) Milwaukee (-152)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-47) are en route to American Family Field on Thursday where they will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (53-39). The moneyline on this contest has Pittsburgh at +128 while Milwaukee is coming in at -152. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Paul Skenes and Aaron Civale.

The Pirates have tallied 122 doubles as a unit and have knocked 97 baseballs out of the park. Pittsburgh is slugging .371 and have been called out on strikes 849 times, while drawing a walk on 286 occasions. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which has them at 18th in the league. They have tallied 369 RBI's and 712 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate is at .231. They have racked up 382 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .299.

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The Pirates have compiled a team earned run average of 3.88 on the year (12th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 779 hitters. Pirates pitchers have conceded 90 long balls and 395 total runs (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 275 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.87 as a team this year. Pittsburgh has surrendered 768 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 352 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28.

The Pirates relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 57.5% and has come into the game in 84 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 110 runners on the season and 32.7% of them crossed the plate. Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 75 times and also have had 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 277 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers are sitting with 43 holds on the campaign (19th in MLB). They have accumulated 23 saves for the season and have missed out on 17 of 40 save chances.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 2,449 putouts on the campaign, as well as 792 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which is 14th in MLB, and they have turned 76 double plays. The Pirates have turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of 7,347 innings, which ranks them 23rd in MLB.

Skenes has taken the ball for 59 innings and is sitting with 78 K's in his career. Skenes (5-0 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 2.10 while he has gone up against 232 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.13 (14 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.015. He has conceded 48 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 12 free passes.

The Milwaukee Brewers have an OBP of .332 as well as a batting average of .255 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 793 occasions (12th in MLB) and are sitting with 800 base hits. Milwaukee has 94 home runs so far this year and 419 runs batted in. The Brewers have a team SLG% of .399 and they have an average of 4.79 runs per outing (9th in the league). They have recorded 141 doubles, while taking a walk 338 times as well as scoring 441 runs.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.261 and have a FIP of 4.41 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.10 (728 strikeouts against 288 free passes). They are currently ranked 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 737. They have allowed 113 home runs and they yield 4.12 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 372 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.85 (348 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 88 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 46 holds and 10 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 42 save opportunities and they have earned 32 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 110 times in high leverage situations and also on 86 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.5% of 128 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 2nd in baseball holding a save percentage of 76.2%, and they have sent 298 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 68 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in pro baseball). The Brewers have 797 assists, 48 errors and have a tally of 2,440 putouts so far this year. In 7,320 innings on the field, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Civale has allowed 534 base hits while totaling 520 K's in 567 innings pitched. Civale (33-32 career record) has earned a 4.13 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 260 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.203 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.51 and he has gone up against 2,349 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-152) and under 8.5 runs

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