Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+138) Atlanta (-164)

The Atlanta Braves (45-35) will try to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-42) at Truist Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Pirates at +138 while the Braves are priced at -164. The total is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Bailey Falter and Spencer Schwellenbach.

Pittsburgh owns a slugging percentage of .360 and have been called out on strikes 767 times, while drawing a walk on 254 occasions. They have 317 RBI's and 627 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average comes in at .228. The Pirates have accrued 115 doubles as a team and have hit 76 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 328 runs and have an OBP of .297. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 4.1 runs/g, which ranks them 22nd in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.81 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 84 home runs and 363 runs in total (18th in baseball). Pittsburgh has relinquished 684 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 325 earned runs. The Pirates have compiled a team ERA of 4.04 this year (16th in the league), and they have struck out 683 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 243 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.94 as a team so far this season.

Pirates bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 71 times as well as having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 39 holds on the season (20th in the league). The Pirates relief pitchers have a save rate of 59.5% and has come into the game in 77 save situations. They have earned 22 saves this year and have blown 15 of their 37 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 104 base runners this season and 31.7% of those runners ended up scoring. The Pirates have dispatched 249 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Pirates have converted 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,519 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 22nd in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with 2,173 putouts this year, in addition to 685 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which is 16th in MLB, and they have turned 61 double plays.

Falter has taken the ball for 281 frames and is sitting with 222 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.56 (142 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.251. He has allowed 286 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 65 free passes. Falter (13-20 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.49 and he has faced 1,169 hitters in the major leagues.

Atlanta has tallied 88 long balls this season to go along with 332 runs batted in. They have recorded 154 two-baggers, while taking a walk 231 times and putting up 350 runs. The Atlanta Braves have compiled an on-base percentage of .309 and a batting average of .243 this season. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .404 and they score 4.38 runs per outing (14th in the league). They have been rung up on 700 occasions (12th in baseball) and have 659 hits.

The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.204 with a FIP of 3.49 as a staff over the course of the season. They come in at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 621. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 296 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.53 (277 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (713 strikeouts against 230 walks). They have allowed 67 long balls and they surrender 3.77 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball).

Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.4% out of 68 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 72 times in high leverage situations and also on 51 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 70 save situations, the Braves have 36 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 235 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Atlanta has had relievers enter the game in 34 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (1st in baseball). The Braves have recorded 738 assists, 31 errors and have accumulated 2,121 putouts on the campaign. In 6,363 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in the majors).

Schwellenbach (1-3 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.50 earned run average while conceding 9.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.57 and he has faced 114 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 16 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.298 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.4. During his career, Schwellenbach has allowed 27 base hits while he has accumulated 25 punch outs in 26 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-164)

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