Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

The Washington Nationals (69-90) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) at Nationals Park on Sunday. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Jake Irvin.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in baseball. They have notched a total of 774 runs and have an OBP of .326. The Phillies have accounted for 284 doubles as a team and have smacked 196 balls out of the stadium. They have 740 runs batted in and 1,405 hits so far this year, while their batting average comes in at .258. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .427 and have struck out 1,344 times, while taking a walk on 507 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.21 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 177 long balls and 653 runs in total (9th in baseball). Philadelphia has given up 1,303 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 600 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.81 so far this season (9th in the league), and they have rung up 1,401 batters. They have walked 436 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.86 as a unit for the season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 65.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 131 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 133 runners for the season and 35.3% of those players crossed the plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 95 times in addition to having 166 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 506 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen have notched 75 holds for the year (24th in the league). They have earned 36 saves this season and have blown 19 out of their 55 chances to save the game.

The Phillies have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs in their 12,759 innings on the field, which has them sitting 20th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 4,253 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,442 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which ranks 12th in pro baseball, and they have turned 118 double plays.

Nola has pitched in 1,615 innings and has accounted for 1,772 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.70 (664 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.136. He has given up 1,414 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 421 free passes. Nola (103-79 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.64 and he has gone up against 6,612 batters in the majors.

The Nationals have a SLG% of .372 and they score 4.04 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have recorded 265 doubles, while getting a free base 448 times and earning 642 runs. Washington has accounted for 131 home runs on the campaign as well as 604 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,188 occasions (26th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,270 base hits. The Washington Nationals hold an on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a team batting average of .241 so far this season.

The Washington pitching staff have conceded 754 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.32 (675 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 166 long balls and they allow 4.82 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.333 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (1,288 strikeouts against 465 free passes). They are currently ranked 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,411.

With 142 save situations, the Nationals have 80 holds and 22 blown saves. Washington has had relievers enter the game in 62 save opportunities and they have tallied 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 136 times in high leverage situations and on 154 occasions with runners on. Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.9% out of 220 inherited runners. They are ranked 15th in MLB with a save rate of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 558 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

Out of their 12,663 innings played, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (29th in MLB). The Washington Nationals have turned 153 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Nationals have 1,408 assists, 108 errors and are sitting with 4,221 putouts this year.

During his pro baseball career, Irvin has allowed 286 hits while he has earned 252 punch outs in 304 frames. He has conceded a total of 148 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and he has faced 1,278 opposing batters thus far in his career. Irvin (13-20 career mark) holds a 4.38 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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