Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+115) San Diego (-140)

Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (14-15) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (17-10) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has Philadelphia at +115 and San Diego opens at -140. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Ranger Suarez and Dylan Cease.

The Phillies have hit 34 doubles as a team and have hit 33 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .412 and have struck out 223 times, while drawing a walk on 93 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.5 runs/g, which puts them at 13th in the league. They have accrued 118 runs batted in and 229 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate sits at .254. They have a total of 122 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.35 this season (7th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 263 hitters. Phillies pitchers have given up 21 home runs and 103 runs (9th in MLB). They have walked 87 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.23 as a team on the season. Philadelphia has conceded 194 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 90 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16.

The Phillies have dispatched 80 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 32 base runners this year and 43.8% of them ended up scoring. They have compiled 7 saves on the season and have missed out on 4 of their 11 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 63.6% and stepped onto the hill in 23 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 12 holds on the year (23rd in the league). Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 22 times and also have had 31 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 726 putouts so far this season, in addition to 252 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 18th in MLB, and they have turned 14 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,178 innings on the field, which ranks them 12th in professional baseball.

Suarez has thrown 1,914 innings and has 1,932 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.72 (792 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.273. He has conceded 1,768 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 670 free passes. Suarez (137-95 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.80 and he has faced 8,123 opposing hitters in the majors.

San Diego has recorded 29 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 135 runs batted in. They have recorded 42 doubles, while taking a walk 104 times as well as notching 142 runs. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .331 and a team batting average of .257 so far this season. The Padres have a team SLG% of .402 and they have an average of 4.90 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have struck out on 212 occasions (20th in the league) and are sitting with 251 hits.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.307 in addition to having a FIP of 4.32 as a pitching staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (238 strikeouts vs 102 free passes). They have a ranking of 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 234. They have yielded 33 long balls and they yield 4.87 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 139 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.20 (120 earned runs conceded).

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 38.2% out of their 55 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 29 times in high leverage situations and on 37 occasions with runners on. With 27 save situations, the Padres have compiled 14 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 7th in the league holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 100 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. San Diego has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 12 save opportunities and they have come away with 9 saves.

In their 2,316 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in MLB). The San Diego Padres have turned 25 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .982 (21st in the majors). The Padres have racked up 238 assists, 18 errors and have notched a total of 772 putouts for the season.

Cease (89-56 career mark) holds a 3.96 ERA while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has faced 5,562 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 579 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Cease has surrendered 1,278 base hits while totaling 1,170 K's in 1,316 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-140)

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