Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, July 21, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

The Pittsburgh Pirates (48-48) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (62-34) at PNC Park on Sunday. The pitchers taking the mound are Tyler Phillips and Marco Gonzales.

Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .424 and have been called out on strikes 804 times, while taking a walk on 334 occasions. They have recorded 456 RBI's and 846 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is sitting at .259. The Phillies have hit 156 two-baggers as a team and have hit 118 balls out of the park. They have 477 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .331. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 5.0 runs/g, which is 3rd in MLB.

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The Phillies have a team earned run average of 3.41 on the season (2nd in MLB), and they have rung up 877 batters. Phillies pitchers have yielded 92 long balls and also 367 runs (3rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 257 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.54 as a team on the season. Philadelphia has relinquished 737 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 327 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.41 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 64 times and also have had 105 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 48 holds this year (16th in MLB). The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 65.0% and has entered the game in 89 save situations. They have recorded 26 saves on the season and have blown 14 of their 40 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 85 runners on the season and 37.6% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 298 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Phillies have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,758 innings, which has them ranked 11th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have 2,586 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 867 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which has them ranked 21st in the majors, and they have turned 70 double plays.

Phillips (1-0 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.43 and he has gone up against 38 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 9 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 0 free passes. His ERA is 4.50 (5 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.900. Phillips has pitched in 10 innings and is sitting with 12 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Pirates have a SLG% of .370 and they tally 4.19 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have put up 132 two-baggers, while taking a walk 301 times and scoring 402 runs. Pittsburgh has hit 99 home runs over the course of the season and 389 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 886 instances (5th in baseball) and have 751 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with an OBP of .299 and a batting average of .231 for the season.

The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.277 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a unit this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (823 strikeouts vs 290 walks). They rank 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 808. They have allowed 93 HR's and they concede 4.30 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have relinquished 411 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.86 (369 earned runs yielded).

Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of their 112 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 112 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with runners on. With 91 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 48 holds and also 17 blown saves. They rank 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 59.5%, and they have sent 292 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 82 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in pro baseball). The Pirates have racked up 839 assists, 48 errors and have a tally of 2,581 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 7,743 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in MLB).

Gonzales (66-49 career record) has a 4.10 ERA and has given up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and he has faced 3,858 batters during his MLB career. He has allowed 417 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.287 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. Thus far in his career, Gonzales has given up 935 base knocks while he has tallied 680 punch outs in 915 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh

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