Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/19/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, July 19, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

PNC Park is the location where the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-48) will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (62-34) on Friday. The pitchers taking the mound are Aaron Nola and Mitch Keller.

The Phillies have accounted for 156 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 118 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .424 and have struck out 804 times, while drawing a walk on 334 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league. They have 456 runs batted in as well as 846 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is .259. They have earned 477 runs and hold an OBP of .331.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.41 this year (2nd in baseball), and they have struck out 877 hitters. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 92 home runs and 367 total runs (3rd in the league). They have walked 257 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.54 as a team so far this season. Philadelphia has relinquished 737 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 327 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.41 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15.

The Phillies have sent 298 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 85 base runners this season with 37.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 26 saves on the season and have blown 14 out of their 40 chances to get a save. The Phillies bullpen have a save rate of 65.0% and has come into the game in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 48 holds on the campaign (16th in MLB). Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 64 times as well as having 105 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for 2,586 putouts this season, as well as 867 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which has them ranked 21st in the majors, and have accumulated 70 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 70.2% of balls in play into outs in their 7,758 innings, ranking them 11th in pro baseball.

Nola (101-75 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 6,289 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,330 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 398 walks. His ERA is 3.70 (633 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.122. Nola has taken the mound for 1,541 innings and is sitting with 1,698 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied a team OBP of .299 in addition to a batting average of .231 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 886 instances (5th in the league) and have 751 base hits. Pittsburgh has a total of 99 home runs this year as well as 389 runs batted in. The Pirates have a SLG% of .370 and they are earning 4.19 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have hit 132 doubles, while walking 301 times and scoring 402 runs.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have conceded 411 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.86 (369 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 93 long balls and they allow 4.30 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.277 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.82 as a squad so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (823 strikeouts against 290 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 808.

Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 42 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves. They rank 22nd in the league holding a save percentage of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 292 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 112 times in high leverage situations and also on 77 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of their 112 inherited runners. With 91 save situations, the Pirates have earned 48 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

In 7,743 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in MLB). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 82 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in professional baseball). The Pirates have recorded 839 assists, 48 errors and have a tally of 2,581 putouts for the year.

Keller (35-43 career mark) has a 4.49 earned run average while giving up 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and he has faced 2,787 opposing batters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 318 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.415 and a FIP of 4.4. In his career, Keller has surrendered 674 hits while he has accumulated 626 K's in 637 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh

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