Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/22/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The New York Mets (85-68) host the Philadelphia Phillies (91-62) at Citi Field on Sunday. The expected starting pitchers will be Zack Wheeler and Tylor Megill.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.8 runs/g, which puts them at 5th in the league. They have earned a total of 739 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .326. The Phillies have hit 272 doubles as a unit and have hit 185 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 707 runs batted in as well as 1,348 hits on the season, and their team batting average comes in at .258. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .424 and have struck out 1,293 times, while being walked on 491 occasions.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.78 for the year (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,345 hitters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 171 home runs in addition to 625 total runs (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 413 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.86 as a team so far this year. Philadelphia has yielded 1,252 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 573 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.26 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22.

Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 89 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 73 holds on the year (22nd in baseball). The Phillies relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 65.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 129 save situations. They have compiled 36 saves for the season and have blown 19 out of their 55 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 121 base runners on the campaign with 35.5% of them crossed the plate. The Phillies have sent 487 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Phillies have turned 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,291 innings, which ranks them 19th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 4,097 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,391 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which puts them in 12th in baseball, and have accumulated 115 double plays.

Wheeler has taken the hill for 1,565 frames and has earned 1,606 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.34 (581 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.158. He has allowed 1,358 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 454 free passes. Wheeler (103-69 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.29 while he has faced 6,450 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .420 and they score 4.84 runs per game (4th in the league). They have hit 270 doubles, while taking a walk 490 times and recording 740 runs. New York has recorded 198 long balls this year and 708 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,300 occasions (16th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,298 base hits. The New York Mets hold a team OBP of .321 in addition to a batting average of .249 this year.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.255 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.07 as a team on the year. They are currently ranked 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,158. The New York pitching staff have yielded 652 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.90 (592 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,362 strikeouts vs 555 bases on balls). They have given up 155 dingers and they allow 4.30 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 61 save chances and they have come away with 37 saves. They are ranked 23rd in the league with a save rate of 60.7%, and they have sent 486 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Their relievers have taken the field 169 times in high leverage situations and on 149 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.2% of 199 inherited runners. Sitting with 157 save situations, the Mets have tallied 94 holds in addition to 24 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 124 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,339 assists, 90 errors and have earned 4,096 putouts so far this year. Out of their 12,288 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (9th in pro baseball).

Megill (21-21 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.59 ERA and has given up 9.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.63 and he has gone up against 1,439 hitters so far in his career. He has surrendered 169 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.386 and having a FIP of 4.5. So far in his MLB career, Megill has conceded 333 base knocks while he has tallied 332 strikeouts in 331 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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