Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

The New York Mets (84-68) are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies (91-61) at Citi Field on Saturday. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Ranger Suarez and Sean Manaea.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 5th in the league. They have 733 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .326. The Phillies have accrued 270 doubles as a team and have knocked 184 balls out of the park. They have amassed 701 RBI's in addition to 1,340 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate is .258. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .424 and have been called out on strikes 1,281 times, while being walked on 488 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.31 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21. Phillies pitchers have allowed 167 home runs and 615 runs in total (7th in the league). Philadelphia has given up 1,241 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 563 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.73 for the season (7th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,340 batters. They have walked 405 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.81 as a unit so far this year.

The Phillies bullpen have earned a save percentage of 65.5% and has entered the game in 129 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 120 base runners on the year with 35.0% of those runners crossed home plate. Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 88 times in addition to having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 483 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen have accumulated 73 holds on the season (22nd in the league). They have 36 saves so far this year and have not converted 19 of their 55 save opportunities.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 4,073 putouts this year, in addition to 1,377 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which is 13th in professional baseball, and have earned 113 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,219 innings, which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball.

Suarez (41-28 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.30 and he has gone up against 2,508 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 562 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 197 free passes. His earned run average is 3.35 (222 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.271. Suarez has taken the ball for 597 innings and has totaled 548 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

The Mets hold a slugging % of .418 and they score 4.80 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have hit 269 doubles, while getting a free base 482 times and putting up 730 runs. New York has knocked in 194 home runs so far this season to go along with 698 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,295 instances (16th in baseball) and have recorded 1,287 base hits. The New York Mets have earned an OBP of .320 as well as a team batting average of .248 this season.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 646 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.89 (586 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 154 home runs and they concede 4.29 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.255 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.08 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,350 strikeouts against 552 walks). They come in at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,150.

Sitting with 157 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 94 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 61 save opportunities and they have earned 37 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 169 times in high leverage situations and on 148 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of 197 inherited runners. They rank 23rd in the league with a save percentage of 60.7%, and they have dispatched 482 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

Out of their 12,207 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (9th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 123 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in professional baseball). The Mets have 1,333 assists, 90 errors and have earned a total of 4,069 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Manaea has conceded 1,078 base knocks while totaling 1,102 K's in 1,173 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 519 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.203 and having a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.31 and he has gone up against 4,888 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Manaea (76-61 career mark) holds a 3.98 earned run average while conceding 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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