Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/19/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, September 19, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+107) New York (-170)

The New York Mets (83-68) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (91-60) at Citi Field on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at +107 and the Mets are coming in at -170. The total has been set at 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Taijuan Walker and Luis Severino.

The Phillies have accumulated 270 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 183 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .425 and have been called out on strikes 1,265 times, while taking a walk on 485 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 5th in baseball. They have recorded 700 runs batted in in addition to 1,336 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .258. They have earned a total of 732 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .327.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21. Phillies pitchers have conceded 166 home runs in addition to 613 total runs (7th in MLB). Philadelphia has allowed 1,236 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and 561 earned runs. The Phillies have an ERA of 3.74 this season (7th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,328 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 402 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.82 as a team for the season.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 88 times as well as having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 73 holds on the season (21st in MLB). The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 65.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 129 save situations. They have accumulated 36 saves for the season and have blown 19 of their 55 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 120 runners this year and 35.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Phillies have dispatched 481 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 4,048 putouts on the year, as well as 1,373 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which ranks 14th in professional baseball, and have earned 113 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,144 innings on the field, which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball.

Walker has taken the ball for 1,148 innings and has accumulated 999 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.13 (527 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.268. He has conceded 1,069 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 386 free passes. Walker (72-62 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.07 while he has gone up against 4,854 hitters in the majors.

The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .248 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,285 occasions (16th in the league) and have 1,276 base knocks. New York has accounted for 192 home runs this year to go along with 688 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .417 and they are earning 4.77 runs per outing (7th in baseball). They have put up 268 doubles, while taking a walk 478 times as well as recording 720 runs.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 646 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.92 (586 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 154 HR's and they allow 4.32 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.259 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a team this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,344 strikeouts against 549 bases on balls). They come in at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,147.

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of their 197 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 169 times in high leverage situations and on 148 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 157 save situations, the Mets have tallied 94 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. They rank 23rd in baseball holding a save percentage of 60.7%, and they have sent 480 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. New York has had relievers step onto the hill in 61 save opportunities and they have walked away with 37 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 122 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in the majors). The Mets have 1,318 assists, 90 errors and have notched a total of 4,042 putouts for the year. Out of their 12,126 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Severino has conceded 801 hits while accumulating 937 punch outs in 899 frames. He has surrendered a total of 378 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.193 and a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.44 and he has faced 3,739 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Severino (64-43 career win-loss record) has a 3.78 ERA while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-170)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here