Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/14/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) New York (+110)

The New York Mets (19-20) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (28-13) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -130 while the Mets open at +110. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Jose Butto.

The Phillies have earned 59 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 49 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .424 and have been called out on strikes 360 times, while drawing a walk on 154 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 2nd in MLB. They have 203 runs batted in and 362 hits on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .261. They have tallied 213 runs and hold an OBP of .336.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.29 this season (4th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 388 batters. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 34 long balls and also 151 total runs (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 118 opposing players and their FIP is 3.30 as a squad on the year. Philadelphia has conceded 308 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 134 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.16.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 26 times and also have had 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 23 holds on the season (12th in MLB). The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 41 save situations. They have tallied 12 saves so far this season and have blown 6 of their 18 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 37 runners for the year and 48.6% of those runners crossed the plate. The Phillies have dispatched 123 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 1,101 putouts for the season, as well as 370 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 15th in pro baseball, and have earned 29 double plays. The Phillies have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,303 innings on the field, which has them sitting 18th in professional baseball.

Nola (94-73 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.40 and he has faced 6,017 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 1,278 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 386 walks. His ERA is 3.72 (608 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.131. Nola has taken the mound for 1,471 frames and has earned 1,629 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

New York is sitting with 41 long balls so far this season as well as 160 runs batted in. They have tallied 55 doubles, while walking 129 times as well as putting up 168 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .311 as well as a batting average of .236 this year. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .371 and they average 4.31 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 299 occasions (27th in the league) and have accounted for 314 hits.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 167 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.72 (145 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 28 long balls and they concede 4.28 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.313 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.79 as a pitching staff on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (358 strikeouts vs 175 bases on balls). They come in at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 286.

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.9% of 52 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 58 times in high leverage situations and also on 40 occasions with base runners. With 42 save situations, the Mets have tallied 27 holds and 5 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 132 relievers to the mound on the year. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 15 save chances and they have walked away with 10 saves.

In 3,159 innings played, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (13th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 35 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (21st in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 324 assists, 24 errors and have earned a total of 1,053 putouts for the season.

Butto (2-6 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 3.99 earned run average and has conceded 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.83 and he has faced 337 hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 35 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.329 and a FIP of 4.3. In his pro baseball career, Butto has surrendered 63 hits while he has totaled 77 strikeouts in 79 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-130)

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