Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 10/9/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FS1

The New York Mets (89-73) host the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) at Citi Field on Wednesday in Game 4 of their series. The men taking the mound are Ranger Suarez and Jose Quintana. Philly opens at -115 and the Mets are at -105. The total is at 8.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 5th in MLB. They have racked up 784 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .325. The Phillies have earned 285 two-baggers as a team and have hit 198 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 750 runs batted in and 1,423 hits on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .257. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .425 and have struck out 1,370 times, while being walked on 515 occasions.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.85 this season (11th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,433 hitters. Phillies pitchers have given up 181 long balls and also 671 total runs (12th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 444 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.86 as a team so far this season. Philadelphia has conceded 1,339 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 617 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 96 times and also have had 168 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 78 holds for the year (24th in MLB). The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 66.1% and has come into the game in 135 save situations. They have recorded 37 saves this year and have not converted 19 out of their 56 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 134 base runners this year and 35.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 517 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Phillies have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,984 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 21st in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 4,328 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,467 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which has them sitting 12th in pro baseball, and have a total of 121 double plays.

Suarez has taken the mound for 604 frames and has earned 554 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Suarez (41-29 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.37 and he has gone up against 2,546 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.43 (230 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.284. He has conceded 574 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 202 walks.

New York has a total of 207 long balls for the year to go along with 735 runs batted in. They have put up 279 doubles, while taking a walk 514 times and putting up 768 runs. The New York Mets have recorded a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .246 so far this year. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .415 and they are recording 4.74 runs per outing (7th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,382 occasions (15th in MLB) and have tallied 1,357 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 697 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.96 (634 earned runs given up). They have yielded 165 long balls and they give up 4.35 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.261 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a unit for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,455 strikeouts vs 586 free passes). They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,232.

New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of 214 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 173 times in high leverage situations and on 159 occasions with base runners. With 163 save situations, the Mets have accrued 97 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. They rank 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have sent 516 relievers to the hill this year. New York has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 64 save opportunities and they have tallied 39 saves.

Out of their 12,981 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (9th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 127 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (25th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,408 assists, 94 errors and have notched a total of 4,327 putouts for the season.

Quintana (102-103 career win-loss record) has a 3.74 ERA and has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 8,256 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 819 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and a FIP of 3.7. In his career, Quintana has surrendered 1,923 hits while earning 1,727 K's in 1,969 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-105)

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