Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 10/8/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, October 8, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FS1

The New York Mets (89-73) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) at Citi Field on Tuesday in Game 3 of the NLDS. The series is tied 1-1. The pitchers taking the mound will be Aaron Nola and Sean Manaea. Both teams open at -110. The total opens at 8.

The Phillies have accounted for 285 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 198 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .425 and have struck out 1,370 times, while being walked on 515 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.8 runs per contest, which puts them at 5th in baseball. They have tallied 750 RBI's as well as 1,423 hits this season, while their average at the plate sits at .257. They have notched a total of 784 runs and have an on-base percentage of .325.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.85 this year (11th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,433 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 181 home runs in addition to 671 runs in total (12th in MLB). They have walked 444 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.86 as a team this season. Philadelphia has given up 1,339 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 617 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies have sent 517 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 134 base runners this season with 35.1% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 37 saves on the year and have blown 19 out of their 56 save chances. The Phillies relievers have earned a save percentage of 66.1% and has entered the game in 135 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 78 holds this season (24th in MLB). Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 96 times as well as having 168 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,984 innings, ranking them 21st in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 4,328 putouts this year, as well as 1,467 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 12th in the majors, and have earned 121 double plays.

Nola has taken the hill for 1,620 innings and has racked up 1,779 K's thus far in his career. Nola (104-79 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.65 and he has gone up against 6,635 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.70 (667 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.138. He has conceded 1,423 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 421 free passes.

New York is sitting with 207 long balls for the year to go along with 735 RBIs. They have 279 doubles, while taking a walk 514 times as well as racking up 768 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an OBP of .319 as well as a team batting average of .246 on the season. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .415 and they average 4.74 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,382 occasions (15th in MLB) and have a total of 1,357 hits.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.261 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a squad this season. They are sitting at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,232. The New York pitching staff have yielded 697 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.96 (634 earned runs allowed). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,455 strikeouts vs 586 free passes). They have given up 165 dingers and they surrender 4.35 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

With 163 save situations, the Mets have 97 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 64 save chances and they have walked away with 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 173 times in high leverage situations and on 159 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of 214 inherited runners. They rank 22nd in the league holding a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 516 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

In 12,981 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (9th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 127 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (25th in the majors). The Mets have 1,408 assists, 94 errors and have accounted for 4,327 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Manaea has allowed 1,088 base knocks and he has 1,109 punch outs in 1,183 frames. Manaea (77-62 career mark) holds a 4.01 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 527 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.202 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.31 and he has faced 4,933 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-110)

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