Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 7, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Miami Marlins (52-87) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (83-56) at loanDepot park on Saturday. The pitchers taking the mound are Aaron Nola and Darren McCaughan.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 6th in baseball. They have 673 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. The Phillies have accounted for 242 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 169 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 643 runs batted in and 1,229 hits on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .258. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .424 and have been called out on strikes 1,165 times, while drawing a walk on 455 occasions.

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The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.70 so far this year (4th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,232 hitters. Phillies pitchers have given up 154 home runs in addition to 560 total runs (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 369 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.83 as a team for the year. Philadelphia has yielded 1,129 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 511 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.34 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save rate of 64.7% and has entered the game in 119 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 113 runners over the course of the season with 34.5% of them ended up scoring. Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 83 times as well as having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 443 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have accumulated 67 holds on the campaign (19th in baseball). They have recorded 33 saves so far this year and have blown 18 out of their 51 chances to get a save.

The Phillies have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,199 innings on the field, ranking them 18th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 3,733 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,264 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them ranked 14th in MLB, and have a total of 107 double plays.

Nola has taken the ball for 1,593 frames and is sitting with 1,744 K's in his pro baseball career. Nola (102-77 career mark) has a FIP of 3.62 and he has gone up against 6,515 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.68 (651 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.132. He has conceded 1,389 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 414 free passes.

Miami has compiled 128 long balls so far this year as well as 508 RBIs. They have recorded 202 doubles, while walking 335 times as well as scoring 526 runs. The Miami Marlins have tallied an on-base percentage of .296 and a team batting average of .240 so far this season. The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .372 and they are earning 3.78 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,189 occasions (15th in the league) and have recorded 1,133 hits.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 714 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.71 (645 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 164 home runs and they give up 5.21 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.383 and have a FIP of 4.42 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.40 (1,149 strikeouts vs 487 free passes). They sit at 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,218.

Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.9% out of their 214 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 169 times in high leverage situations in addition to 153 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 122 save situations, the Marlins have earned 68 holds and 25 blown saves. They rank 29th in baseball holding a save rate of 51.9%, and they have sent 479 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 52 save chances and they have tallied 27 saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 102 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Marlins have recorded 1,254 assists, 94 errors and have a tally of 3,700 putouts for the season. In 11,100 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (28th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, McCaughan has surrendered 44 base knocks while he has earned 22 strikeouts in 33 innings. He has allowed 29 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.837 and having a FIP of 7.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.29 and he has faced 166 opposing hitters during his MLB career. McCaughan (0-0 career record) is the owner of a 7.86 earned run average while surrendering 11.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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