Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-174) Miami (+146)

The Miami Marlins (10-29) are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies (26-12) at loanDepot park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies at -174 and the Marlins are coming in at +146. The total is set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start are Taijuan Walker and Jesus Luzardo.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 5.0 runs/g, which ranks them 5th in the league. They have earned 191 runs while holding a team OBP of .333. The Phillies have tallied 51 doubles as a team and have knocked 46 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 182 RBI's as well as 329 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average is sitting at .258. Philadelphia is slugging .419 and have struck out 329 times, while drawing a walk on 140 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 31 home runs and also 139 runs in total (7th in baseball). Philadelphia has given up 284 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and also 123 earned runs. The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.26 for the year (4th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 360 hitters. They have walked 109 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.29 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 40 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 37 base runners on the campaign and 48.6% of them crossed home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 25 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 112 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen are sitting with 22 holds so far this year (12th in the league). They have recorded 12 saves this year and have blown 6 out of their 18 chances to save the game.

The Phillies have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of 3,060 innings, which has them sitting at 14th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have 1,020 putouts this year, as well as 340 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball, and have 27 double plays.

Walker has thrown 735 innings and is sitting with 716 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Walker (54-35 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.62 and he has faced 3,071 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.42 (279 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.223. He has conceded 626 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 273 free passes.

Miami has knocked in 31 home runs for the season to go along with 139 runs batted in. They have 47 two-baggers, while getting a free base 91 times as well as earning 143 runs. The Miami Marlins have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .281 in addition to a batting average of .225 so far this year. The Marlins hold a slugging % of .339 and they score 3.67 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 287 occasions (25th in baseball) and are sitting with 295 hits.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 222 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 5.21 (199 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 46 HR's and they yield 5.81 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.465 and have a FIP of 4.59 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (329 strikeouts against 160 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 29th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 344.

Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 13 save chances and they have come away with 5 saves. They rank 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 38.5%, and they have sent 131 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 35 times in high leverage situations and on 35 occasions with base runners. Miami relievers have an inherited score rate of 37.7% of 53 inherited runners. With 30 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 17 holds and 8 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 34 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). The Marlins have racked up 359 assists, 29 errors and have earned a total of 1,032 putouts on the season. Out of their 3,096 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.5% (27th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Luzardo has allowed 321 base hits while earning 424 punch outs in 376 innings. Luzardo (27-21 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.00 ERA while giving up 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 167 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.098 and a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.61 and he has faced 1,538 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+146)

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