Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/25/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-102) Cincinnati (-116)

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-9) are hitting the road to Great American Ball Park on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Cincinnati Reds (13-10). The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -102 and Cincinnati is sitting at -116. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Zack Wheeler and Nick Martínez.

The Phillies have tallied 26 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 27 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .389 and have struck out 201 times, while being walked on 85 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 15th in the league. They have accounted for 100 runs batted in and 193 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is at .244. They have accounted for 104 runs scored and hold an OBP of .316.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.33 for the season (6th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 226 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 19 home runs and 93 runs (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 74 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.32 as a team this year. Philadelphia has allowed 174 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 80 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.05 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.15.

Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 20 times as well as having 30 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 12 holds so far this year (22nd in baseball). The Phillies relievers have compiled a save rate of 70.0% and has entered the game in 22 save situations. They have earned 7 saves for the year and have blown 3 of 10 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 28 runners on the season with 42.9% of those players earned a run for their team. The Phillies have sent 73 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 648 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 234 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .982 which is 20th in the majors, and have accumulated 13 double plays. The Phillies have turned 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,944 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball.

Wheeler (88-66 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.32 while he has faced 5,840 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,250 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 412 walks. His ERA is 3.42 (536 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.179. Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,410 innings and has 1,439 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Cincinnati Reds have a team on-base percentage of .306 as well as a team batting average of .221 for the season. They have struck out on 220 instances (9th in baseball) and have earned 166 base hits. Cincinnati has accounted for 25 home runs so far this season to go along with 112 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .390 and they earn 5.22 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have put up 40 two-baggers, while taking a walk 85 times and scoring 120 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 99 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.88 (88 earned runs given up). They have conceded 22 long balls and they surrender 4.37 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.270 with a FIP of 3.99 as a pitching staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (205 strikeouts against 83 bases on balls). They are sitting at 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 176.

Sitting with 19 save situations, the Reds have accrued 13 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 6 save chances and they have earned 4 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 21 times in high leverage situations and on 18 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 17.6% out of 34 inherited runners. They rank 12th in MLB with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 70 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 10 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (21st in baseball). The Reds have 156 assists, 14 errors and have a total of 612 putouts on the season. In their 1,836 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (12th in pro baseball).

Martinez (27-38 record in his career) has a 4.33 ERA while surrendering 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.96 and he has faced 2,808 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 312 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.385 and having a FIP of 4.9. In his MLB career, Martinez has allowed 668 hits while he has totaled 452 strikeouts in 649 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-116) and under 8.5 runs

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