Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/22/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, April 22, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-119) Cincinnati (+100)

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (12-9) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (14-8) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -119 and Cincinnati is sitting at +100. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Ranger Suarez and Hunter Greene.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They are sitting with 88 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .313. The Phillies have earned 19 doubles as a team and have hit 25 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 85 runs batted in as well as 168 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .242. Philadelphia is slugging .387 and have been called out on strikes 180 times, while drawing a walk on 72 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.46 for the season (7th in MLB), and they have struck out 203 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 16 long balls and 83 runs (8th in baseball). They have walked 68 hitters and their FIP is 3.34 as a team over the course of the season. Philadelphia has allowed 158 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 73 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.99 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19.

Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 20 times in addition to having 30 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 12 holds this season (14th in the league). The Phillies bullpen have earned a save rate of 70.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 22 save situations. They have recorded 7 saves so far this season and have blown 3 of their 10 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 28 runners so far this season with 42.9% of those players crossed home plate. The Phillies have dispatched 66 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Phillies have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,710 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 18th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have 570 putouts on the campaign, as well as 202 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which has them sitting 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 12 double plays.

Suarez (32-21 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.66 and he has gone up against 2,015 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 450 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 165 free passes. His earned run average is 3.32 (177 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.281. Suarez has taken the hill for 480 frames and has tallied 436 strikeouts in his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a team OBP of .312 in addition to a team batting average of .227 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 195 occasions (8th in the league) and have accounted for 150 base hits. Cincinnati has knocked in 23 home runs this year and 103 RBIs. The Reds have a team SLG% of .405 and they score 5.45 runs per game (7th in the league). They have 38 two-baggers, while walking 77 times and racking up 109 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 91 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.12 (81 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 21 home runs and they relinquish 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.282 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.40 (185 strikeouts against 71 free passes). They are sitting at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 156.

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 20.0% out of their 30 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 20 times in high leverage situations and also on 16 occasions with base runners. With 16 save situations, the Reds have compiled 11 holds and also 2 blown saves. They rank 17th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 60 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 5 save opportunities and they have earned 3 saves.

Out of their 1,593 innings played, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (13th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 6 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (19th in pro baseball). The Reds have racked up 132 assists, 12 errors and have notched a total of 531 putouts during this campaign.

Greene (9-21 mark in his career) has a 4.60 earned run average and has conceded 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and he has faced 1,121 batters in his career. He has allowed a total of 132 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.308 and having a FIP of 4.3. During his pro baseball career, Greene has conceded 233 base hits while he has totaled 346 punch outs in 258 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-119)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here