Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

The Philadelphia Phillies (56-29) are on their way to Wrigley Field on Thursday where they will play the Chicago Cubs (39-47). The starting pitchers will be Cristopher Sanchez and Jameson Taillon.

The Phillies have accumulated 140 doubles as a unit and have knocked 101 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .422 and have been called out on strikes 709 times, while being walked on 303 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 5.0 runs per outing, which puts them at 4th in MLB. They have recorded 408 runs batted in and 753 hits on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .259. They have tallied 426 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .333.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.48 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.12. Phillies pitchers have yielded 68 long balls and 303 runs (1st in the league). Philadelphia has relinquished 638 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and also 263 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.09 for the season (1st in the league), and they have struck out 766 hitters. They have walked 220 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.31 as a team on the season.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 59 times in addition to having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 39 holds over the course of the season (23rd in baseball). The Phillies bullpen have a save rate of 63.9% and has come into the game in 76 save situations. They have accumulated 23 saves for the year and have not converted 13 out of their 36 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 77 base runners on the year with 36.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Phillies have sent 260 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Phillies have converted 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,894 innings, which has them sitting at 11th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 2,298 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 782 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them ranked 26th in baseball, and have earned 65 double plays.

Sanchez has taken the ball for 245 innings and has tallied 223 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.49 (95 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.195. He has surrendered 229 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 64 free passes. Sanchez (12-10 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.44 and he has faced 1,008 batters in the majors.

The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .367 and they are scoring 4.08 runs per game (21st in the league). They have notched 118 doubles, while walking 302 times and recording 351 runs. Chicago has a total of 83 HRs on the year as well as 328 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 769 occasions (6th in MLB) and have earned a total of 646 hits. The Chicago Cubs have accounted for an on-base percentage of .310 as well as a team batting average of .227 for the season.

The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 383 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.00 (337 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 95 long balls and they relinquish 4.55 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.277 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a squad over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (760 strikeouts vs 273 walks). They rank 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 695.

Chicago has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 20 saves. They sit at 26th in MLB with a save rate of 54.1%, and they have dispatched 261 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relievers have taken the field 110 times in high leverage situations and also on 88 occasions with base runners. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.2% out of their 128 inherited runners. With 73 save situations, the Cubs have 35 holds and 17 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 45 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Cubs have 678 assists, 46 errors and have notched a total of 2,274 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,822 innings played, the Cubs have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (19th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Taillon has allowed 993 base hits while accumulating 908 strikeouts in 1,015 innings pitched. He has allowed 444 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.225 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.62 and he has faced 4,247 opposing batters thus far in his career. Taillon (63-49 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.94 earned run average while conceding 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago

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