Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/13/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, June 13, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-120) Boston (+100)

The Boston Red Sox (33-34) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (46-20) at Fenway Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -120 and Boston is priced at +100. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Tanner Houck.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have a total of 336 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .329. The Phillies have tallied 96 doubles as a squad and have smacked 77 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 318 RBI's as well as 567 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .254. Philadelphia is slugging .412 and have been rung up 540 times, while drawing a walk on 242 occasions.

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The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 2.90 on the year (2nd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 611 hitters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 49 long balls and 225 runs in total (2nd in the league). They have walked 185 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.19 as a unit over the course of the season. Philadelphia has surrendered 483 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 193 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.30 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.12.

The Phillies relievers have earned a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 68 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 58 runners for the season with 36.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 45 times in addition to having 83 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 202 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen are sitting with 37 holds this year (14th in MLB). They have earned 20 saves on the campaign and have blown 10 out of their 30 save opportunities.

The Phillies have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,382 innings, which has them ranked 7th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 1,794 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 599 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which is 18th in professional baseball, and they have turned 46 double plays.

Nola (98-73 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.62 while facing 6,144 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,294 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 393 walks. His ERA is 3.67 (614 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.121. Nola has pitched in 1,505 innings and has accumulated 1,658 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

Boston has accounted for 72 HRs on the season as well as 286 RBIs. They have 114 doubles, while taking a walk 206 times and scoring 297 runs. The Boston Red Sox have earned an OBP of .314 and a batting average of .245 on the season. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .406 and they score 4.43 runs per outing (11th in baseball). They have struck out on 647 occasions (3rd in the league) and have recorded 562 hits.

The Boston pitching staff have yielded 270 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.38 (225 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 63 long balls and they relinquish 4.06 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.150 with a FIP of 3.56 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (584 strikeouts vs 171 bases on balls). They come in at 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 518.

Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.2% out of their 63 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 71 times in high leverage situations in addition to 49 occasions with runners on. With 50 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 25 holds and 11 blown saves. They are ranked 24th in MLB holding a save percentage of 54.2%, and they have dispatched 200 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Boston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 24 save chances and they have walked away with 13 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 47 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 591 assists, 50 errors and have earned a total of 1,798 putouts this season. In 5,394 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (15th in MLB).

In his career, Houck has conceded 279 hits while tallying 347 punch outs in 337 innings. Houck (21-24 career win-loss mark) has a 3.36 ERA while conceding 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 126 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.148 and a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and he has gone up against 1,394 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-120)

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