Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, June 11, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (33-33) will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (45-20) on Tuesday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Zack Wheeler and Kutter Crawford.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .412 and have been rung up 530 times, while drawing a walk on 240 occasions. They have recorded 316 runs batted in and 560 hits for the season, and their batting average is .255. The Phillies have hit 95 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 75 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 332 runs and have an OBP of .331. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.28 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.13. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 49 home runs and also 224 runs (2nd in the league). Philadelphia has conceded 479 base knocks (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 192 earned runs. The Phillies have an earned run average of 2.93 for the year (2nd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 603 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 184 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.22 as a team over the course of the season.

The Phillies bullpen have earned a save rate of 65.5% and has entered the game in 66 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 58 runners for the year with 36.2% of them crossed the plate. Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 45 times in addition to having 83 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 200 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have tallied 36 holds this year (15th in the league). They have recorded 19 saves so far this season and have blown 10 out of their 29 save opportunities.

The Phillies have transformed 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,301 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 1,767 putouts this season, as well as 592 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 16th in the majors, and have 45 double plays.

Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,459 innings and has tallied 1,492 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Wheeler (94-66 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.33 and he has faced 6,033 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.38 (548 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.173. He has allowed 1,281 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 431 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .316 and a team batting average of .247 so far this season. They have struck out on 639 occasions (3rd in MLB) and are sitting with 558 base hits. Boston has accounted for 72 home runs over the course of the season as well as 285 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .409 and they are scoring 4.48 runs per game (11th in the league). They have recorded 113 doubles, while getting a free base 205 times as well as putting up 296 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have yielded 266 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.40 (223 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 61 home runs and they surrender 4.06 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.152 and have a FIP of 3.56 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (574 strikeouts vs 169 free passes). They come in at 9th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 511.

Sitting with 50 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 25 holds and 11 blown saves. Boston has had relievers take the mound in 24 save chances and they have recorded 13 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 71 times in high leverage situations and on 49 occasions with base runners. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.2% of 63 inherited runners. They rank 24th in the league with a save percentage of 54.2%, and they have sent 197 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 46 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 580 assists, 48 errors and have notched a total of 1,771 putouts for the year. In 5,313 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (14th in MLB).

Crawford (11-20 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.43 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.13 and he has faced 1,185 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 139 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.233 and having a FIP of 4.4. During his pro baseball career, Crawford has conceded 257 base knocks while he has tallied 285 strikeouts in 282 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston

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