Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-111) Atlanta (-106)

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (47-39) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (58-30) on Sunday. The line on this contest has Philadelphia at -111 and Atlanta is coming in at -106. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Michael Mercado and Reynaldo Lopez.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 5.0 runs/g, which is 3rd in baseball. They have 441 runs while holding a team OBP of .331. The Phillies have earned 144 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 106 balls out of the park. They have accrued 421 runs batted in and 783 hits on the season, while their team batting average is at .260. Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .422 and have struck out 739 times, while drawing a walk on 306 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.52 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.13. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 73 home runs and 322 runs in total (2nd in the league). Philadelphia has given up 668 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 282 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 3.20 for the season (1st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 799 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 227 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.34 as a squad for the year.

The Phillies have dispatched 269 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 79 base runners this year and 38.0% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 25 saves on the campaign and have blown 14 of 39 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 64.1% and has come into the game in 80 save situations. The relief pitchers have 40 holds on the campaign (22nd in the league). Phillies pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 60 times in addition to having 101 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a total of 2,376 putouts so far this season, in addition to 804 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which is 21st in MLB, and have 65 double plays. The Phillies have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,128 innings, which has them ranked 12th in pro baseball.

Mercado (1-0 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 1.48 and he has gone up against 22 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 2 base knocks (3.0 hits per nine innings) with 2 walks. His earned run average is 1.50 (1 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.667. Mercado has pitched in 6 innings and is sitting with 5 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for an on-base percentage of .307 as well as a batting average of .243 for the season. They have struck out on 761 occasions (12th in the league) and are sitting with 704 base hits. Atlanta has knocked in 94 home runs on the campaign to go along with 348 RBIs. The Braves have a team slugging % of .402 and they have an average of 4.28 runs per game (16th in the league). They have 163 doubles, while walking 245 times and scoring 368 runs.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.203 with a FIP of 3.56 as a team for the season. They are sitting at 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 668. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 319 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.50 (296 earned runs allowed). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (774 strikeouts against 249 walks). They have surrendered 76 homers and they relinquish 3.77 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.1% of 73 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 79 times in high leverage situations and also on 55 occasions with runners on base. With 73 save situations, the Braves have 38 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They rank 8th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 252 relievers to the hill this year. Atlanta has called on relievers to enter the game in 35 save opportunities and they have walked away with 24 saves.

In 6,858 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (19th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 74 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (1st in professional baseball). The Braves have racked up 793 assists, 37 errors and have accumulated 2,286 putouts this season.

So far in his MLB career, Lopez has allowed 700 base hits while he has accumulated 704 punch outs in 763 innings. He has allowed 343 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.51 and he has faced 3,228 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Lopez (45-51 career win-loss mark) has a 4.05 ERA while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-111)

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