Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, July 6, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+120) Atlanta (-142)

The Philadelphia Phillies (57-30) are en route to Truist Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (47-38). The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at +120 and Atlanta is at -142. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Ranger Suarez and Spencer Schwellenbach.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have racked up 433 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .331. The Phillies have earned 142 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 104 balls out of the park. They have earned 415 runs batted in as well as 768 hits so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .258. Philadelphia is slugging .421 and have been called out on strikes 731 times, while taking a walk on 305 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.49 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.13. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 70 home runs and 316 runs (2nd in baseball). Philadelphia has surrendered 660 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 276 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 3.17 on the season (1st in baseball), and the staff has struck out 788 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 226 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.31 as a team for the year.

Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 60 times and also have had 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 40 holds for the season (22nd in MLB). The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 63.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 79 save situations. They have earned 24 saves this season and have blown 14 of their 38 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 79 runners on the season and 38.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Phillies have sent 266 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Phillies have turned 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,047 innings, which has them sitting at 13th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 2,349 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 799 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which ranks 23rd in pro baseball, and they have turned 65 double plays.

Suarez (39-23 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.15 while he has faced 2,326 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 515 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 182 free passes. His ERA is 3.20 (198 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.251. Suarez has taken the hill for 557 frames and is sitting with 508 punch outs in his MLB career.

Atlanta has 91 home runs so far this season as well as 342 runs batted in. They have hit 162 doubles, while walking 244 times as well as putting up 362 runs. The Atlanta Braves have compiled an on-base percentage of .308 in addition to a team batting average of .243 for the year. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .400 and they have an average of 4.26 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 750 occasions (12th in the league) and have 696 hits.

The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.197 with a FIP of 3.54 as a staff this year. They rank 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 653. The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 311 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.47 (290 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.20 (766 strikeouts vs 248 bases on balls). They have surrendered 74 home runs and they relinquish 3.72 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball).

Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 35 save chances and they have walked away with 24 saves. They are ranked 8th in MLB with a save rate of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 250 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 79 times in high leverage situations and also on 55 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.1% out of 73 inherited runners. Sitting with 73 save situations, the Braves have 38 holds and also 11 blown saves.

In 6,777 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have turned 74 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (1st in MLB). The Braves have accrued 782 assists, 34 errors and have accounted for 2,259 putouts so far this year.

Schwellenbach (1-4 career record) holds a 5.77 earned run average and has conceded 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.56 and he has faced 138 batters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 20 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.314 and having a FIP of 5.7. So far in his pro baseball career, Schwellenbach has given up 32 hits while he has earned 32 strikeouts in 31 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+120)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here