Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, July 5, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (47-37) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (57-29) on Friday. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Max Fried.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 5.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They have racked up 431 runs while holding a team OBP of .332. The Phillies have earned 141 two-baggers as a team and have hit 103 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 413 runs batted in in addition to 762 hits on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .259. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .422 and have struck out 720 times, while being walked on 304 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

They have a K/BB ratio of 3.50 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.12. Phillies pitchers have yielded 68 long balls in addition to 306 runs in total (1st in MLB). Philadelphia has surrendered 648 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 266 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 3.09 for the season (1st in baseball), and they have struck out 778 hitters. They have walked 222 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.29 as a team over the course of the season.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 59 times and also have had 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 40 holds on the season (22nd in MLB). The Phillies relievers have recorded a save percentage of 63.2% and stepped onto the hill in 79 save situations. They have 24 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 14 of their 38 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 77 runners this year with 36.4% of those players crossed home plate. The Phillies have dispatched 263 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 2,325 putouts on the campaign, as well as 791 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and have a total of 65 double plays. The Phillies have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,975 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 13th in professional baseball.

Nola has taken the hill for 1,529 frames and has totaled 1,681 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.70 (629 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.123. He has surrendered 1,321 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 396 walks. Nola (99-75 career mark) has a FIP of 3.65 and he has faced 6,242 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves have earned an on-base percentage of .308 as well as a team batting average of .243 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 741 occasions (12th in the league) and have a total of 688 base hits. Atlanta has knocked in 91 home runs on the season to go along with 341 RBIs. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .401 and they score 4.29 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have hit 160 doubles, while taking a walk 243 times and notching 360 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 307 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.47 (287 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 72 home runs and they yield 3.71 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.199 in addition to having a FIP of 3.52 as a staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.10 (756 strikeouts against 245 bases on balls). They come in at 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 647.

Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of their 71 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 79 times in high leverage situations in addition to 54 occasions with runners on base. With 73 save situations, the Braves have earned 38 holds and also 11 blown saves. They sit at 8th in the league with a save rate of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 248 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Atlanta has called on relievers to enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have earned 24 saves.

In their 6,696 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (16th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 73 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (1st in pro baseball). The Braves have recorded 771 assists, 33 errors and have a tally of 2,232 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Fried has given up 712 base knocks while he has earned 781 K's in 805 frames. He has allowed 270 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.156 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.57 and he has gone up against 3,285 hitters in his pro baseball career. Fried (69-29 career win-loss record) has a 3.02 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here