New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 6/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-126) Toronto (+108)

The New York Yankees (53-31) are traveling to Rogers Centre on Sunday where they will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (37-44). The moneyline on this contest has the Yankees at -126 while the Blue Jays are priced at +108. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers will be Gerrit Cole and Kevin Gausman.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in MLB. They are sitting with 426 runs and hold an OBP of .332. The Yankees have recorded 113 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 121 balls out of the stadium. They have 407 runs batted in as well as 699 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average is .250. New York has a slugging rate of .430 and have been called out on strikes 673 times, while drawing a walk on 329 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22. Yankees pitchers have allowed 88 long balls and also 325 total runs (8th in baseball). New York has given up 629 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 290 earned runs. The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.49 so far this season (4th in baseball), and they have rung up 706 hitters. They have walked 282 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.14 as a team on the year.

Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 78 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 40 holds this season (18th in MLB). The Yankees bullpen have earned a save percentage of 71.4% and has come into the game in 77 save situations. They have 25 saves this season and have not converted 10 of 35 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 149 runners so far this season and 34.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Yankees have sent 258 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The New York Yankees have earned a total of 2,246 putouts this year, in addition to 678 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which puts them in 23rd in MLB, and have 63 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,738 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in baseball.

Cole has taken the mound for 1,867 frames and has 2,157 strikeouts thus far in his career. Cole (145-76 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.14 and he has gone up against 7,508 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.19 (662 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.090. He has given up 1,559 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 476 free passes.

The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .374 and they are earning 4.01 runs per game (25th in MLB). They have tallied 131 doubles, while taking a walk 273 times and notching 325 runs. Toronto has knocked in 74 home runs for the season as well as 307 runs batted in. They have struck out on 583 instances (28th in baseball) and have notched a total of 628 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with an OBP of .312 in addition to a team batting average of .235 so far this season.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.291 with a FIP of 4.49 as a unit on the season. They are currently ranked 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 687. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 375 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.30 (339 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.10 (638 strikeouts vs 230 bases on balls). They have allowed 111 dingers and they yield 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).

With 78 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 48 holds and 10 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers enter the game in 28 save opportunities and they have converted 18 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 56 times in high leverage situations in addition to 80 occasions with runners on. Toronto bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.2% out of 116 inherited base runners. They sit at 14th in MLB with a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 273 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 64 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 703 assists, 48 errors and have notched a total of 2,132 putouts so far this season. In their 6,396 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball).

Gausman (94-97 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.87 ERA and has given up 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.76 and he has faced 6,823 opposing hitters in his career. He has surrendered a total of 697 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.266 and having a FIP of 3.8. So far in his MLB career, Gausman has conceded 1,605 base hits and he has 1,687 K's in 1,623 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-126)

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