New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-116) Tampa Bay (-102)

The New York Yankees (55-38) are on their way to Tropicana Field on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (45-46). The odds on this game have New York at -116 while Tampa Bay is priced at -102. The betting total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Nestor Cortes Jr and Shane Baz.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. They have notched a total of 467 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .329. The Yankees have accounted for 131 doubles as a team and have hit 132 balls out of the park. They have 448 runs batted in and 768 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is at .248. New York has a slugging % of .426 and have been called out on strikes 738 times, while taking a walk on 363 occasions.

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The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 3.61 on the year (5th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 806 batters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 104 long balls and also 368 runs in total (8th in MLB). They have walked 306 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a team this season. New York has given up 693 base knocks (7.5 per 9 innings) and 332 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Yankees have sent 285 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 160 base runners so far this year with 36.3% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 25 saves for the year and have blown 11 out of their 36 save chances. The Yankees relievers have earned a save percentage of 69.4% and has come into the game in 79 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 41 holds on the campaign (22nd in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 105 times as well as having 78 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Yankees have accounted for 2,486 putouts thus far, as well as 745 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 24th in MLB, and they have turned 65 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,458 innings, which has them ranked 3rd in baseball.

Cortes Jr has taken the hill for 504 innings and has accounted for 519 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Cortes Jr (28-18 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.67 while facing 2,068 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.73 (209 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.150. He has surrendered 439 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 141 walks.

The Tampa Bay Rays hold a team on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .235 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 820 occasions (8th in baseball) and have earned a total of 713 hits. Tampa Bay has accounted for 83 home runs for the year as well as 340 runs batted in. The Rays have a team slugging percentage of .369 and they are recording 4.00 runs per contest (25th in MLB). They have recorded 139 two-baggers, while getting a free base 295 times and scoring 364 runs.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.267 with a FIP of 4.28 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 776. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 429 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.35 (394 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (788 strikeouts vs 258 free passes). They have conceded 122 homers and they relinquish 4.73 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league).

Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of their 104 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 124 times in high leverage situations and on 72 occasions with base runners. With 105 save situations, the Rays have accumulated 57 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. They are ranked 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have sent 309 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. Tampa Bay has had relievers take the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have walked away with 28 saves.

Out of their 7,347 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 60 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in the majors). The Rays have recorded 701 assists, 42 errors and have notched a total of 2,449 putouts so far this season.

So far in his career, Baz has conceded 40 base knocks and he has 54 strikeouts in 46 innings pitched. Baz (3-3 mark in his career) has a 4.10 earned run average while conceding 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 21 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.150 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.15 and he has gone up against 191 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-102)

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