New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-148) Tampa Bay (+126)

The Tampa Bay Rays (19-19) will play the New York Yankees (25-14) at Tropicana Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Yankees at -148 while the Rays are at +126. The total is 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Nestor Cortes Jr and Zack Littell.

As a team, the New York Yankees are earning 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in MLB. They have a total of 188 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .337. The Yankees have earned 51 doubles as a team and have hit 51 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 178 RBI's and 322 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average is at .249. New York has a slugging rate of .411 and have been called out on strikes 304 times, while taking a walk on 165 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.18. Yankees pitchers have allowed 36 home runs and 135 runs (5th in baseball). New York has allowed 280 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and also 116 earned runs. The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 2.99 for the season (2nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 334 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 132 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.92 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Yankees have dispatched 117 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 66 runners on the season and 36.4% of them crossed home plate. They have earned 16 saves so far this year and have not converted 6 out of their 22 save opportunities. The Yankees bullpen have earned a save rate of 72.7% and stepped onto the hill in 41 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 19 holds over the course of the season (18th in MLB). Yankees pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 48 times as well as having 48 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Yankees have notched a total of 1,047 putouts this season, as well as 332 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which puts them in 27th in pro baseball, and they have turned 30 double plays. The Yankees have transformed 72.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,141 innings on the field, which has them sitting 5th in MLB.

Cortes Jr has taken the hill for 371 frames and has totaled 379 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.77 (197 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.311. He has surrendered 357 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 130 free passes. Cortes Jr (20-25 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.61 and he has gone up against 1,590 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated a team OBP of .314 as well as a batting average of .244 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 335 occasions (10th in baseball) and have notched a total of 310 base knocks. Tampa Bay has hit 31 long balls this season and 140 RBIs. The Rays have a SLG% of .364 and they are earning 4.05 runs per contest (20th in MLB). They have notched 51 doubles, while taking a walk 114 times and putting up 154 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 185 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.42 (167 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 48 dingers and they concede 4.89 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.311 and have a FIP of 4.23 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (333 strikeouts against 121 walks). They come in at 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 325.

With 45 save situations, the Rays have compiled 25 holds and 8 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 19 save opportunities and they have recorded 11 saves. Their relievers have come in 51 times in high leverage situations in addition to 29 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.0% out of 44 inherited runners. They are ranked 22nd in the league holding a save percentage of 57.9%, and they have dispatched 118 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

In 3,066 innings on the diamond, the Rays have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (21st in baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 26 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in MLB). The Rays have accrued 277 assists, 23 errors and have earned a total of 1,022 putouts during this campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Littell has allowed 934 base knocks and he has 866 K's in 966 innings pitched. Littell (62-45 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.93 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 422 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.214 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.62 and he has faced 4,028 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-148)

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